Movies · resolved market
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa51024a8fc7a4d7dfcce9e1266b853dde26cb319dc35bd132b57cd5b29388f43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x520d…babebacked No | 9c | 2,850$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.5 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…2646backed No | 52c | 1,911$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 41c | 1,900$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.04 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 20c | 1,741$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.28 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 50c | 1,591$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.89 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 58c | 1,524$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 31c | 1,449$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.71 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed No | 48c | 1,416$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Yes | 56c | 1,383$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0451backed Yes | 39c | 1,214$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 40c | 1,073$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.48 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 61c | 1,046$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Yes | 50c | 927$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 48c | 873$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked Yes | 38c | 868.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 54c | 863$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 55c | 862$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 53c | 855$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 55c | 848$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 40c | 844$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked No | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 70c | 832.98$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.53 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…7763backed Yes | 39c | 831$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 54c | 801$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.66 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 40c | 788$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 14c | 782.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.46 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 35c | 781$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 46c | 767$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 53c | 763$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 49c | 762$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.62 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 60c | 753$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 39c | 745$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed No | 61c | 736$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 39c | 730$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 47c | 722$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed No | 61c | 694$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed No | 47c | 678$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…b46cbacked No | 25c | 674.72$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed No | 47c | 665$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes | 39c | 656$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 39c | 635$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Yes | 54c | 633$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 53c | 632$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked Yes | 39c | 627$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 48c | 624$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 53c | 609$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 44c | 589$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked Yes | 51c | 586$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 52c | 583$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 61c | 580$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 46c | 577$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 51c | 570$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 39c | 566$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 46c | 561.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.36 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 61c | 555$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked No | 51c | 539$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.11 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes | 49c | 535$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked No | 60c | 532$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 49c | 527$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed No | 61c | 524$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 61c | 519$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed No | 61c | 505$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 60c | 501$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 58c | 499.89$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 48c | 493$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 52c | 491.31$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.48 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 55c | 486.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.08 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 51c | 485$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 62c | 475$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 48c | 472$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.94 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 52c | 472$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 39c | 466$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked No | 44c | 454.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 52c | 454$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…6696backed Yes | 54c | 453.13$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 54c | 445$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 39c | 443$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 39c | 443$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 41c | 430$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 61c | 426$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed Yes | 59c | 426$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 61c | 425$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 423.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.79 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked No | 60c | 422$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed No | 45c | 416$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed No | 61c | 412$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 53c | 405$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.65 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 50c | 402.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 54c | 385.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…932fbacked Yes | 54c | 374.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 48c | 374$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 61c | 370$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 52c | 368$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked No | 46c | 362$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…2b2bbacked Yes | 55c | 361.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 54c | 361$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Angelina LookingGlass be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Ayo Edebiri be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hailee Steinfeld be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Laura Dern be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mari Yamamoto be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Regina Hall be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Teyana Taylor be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Thomasin McKenzie be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Tilda Swinton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.