Movies · resolved market
Will Teyana Taylor be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce814c5a6fecf874c60e7bb1c67da68d571209f2eafb0d6e12bd3beb7ff2059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce89…f530backed No | 1c | 5,085$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d5…4637backed No | 1c | 5,085$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…588dbacked No | 1c | 3,346$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7c…e313backed No | 1c | 2,107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 6c | 1,008$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…2c07backed No | 10c | 987.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed No | 6c | 461.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 7c | 398.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 374.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 11c | 374.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 74c | 202$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 72c | 161$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 15c | 146$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 18c | 122$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 80c | 76.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Teyana Taylor be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Angelina LookingGlass be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Ayo Edebiri be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hailee Steinfeld be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Laura Dern be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mari Yamamoto be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Regina Hall be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Thomasin McKenzie be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Tilda Swinton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.