Movies · resolved market
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31a36dad8b5583ae8f4ee31d76b603b0d039c4f717fa0d7bc93c3ec50ad6c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed No | 41c | 1,222$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 43c | 1,186$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 58c | 1,184$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 42c | 1,154$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.88 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,146$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed No | 41c | 1,146$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 68c | 1,139$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.71 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 42c | 1,107$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.94 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 53c | 1,053$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 41c | 1,007$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 59c | 991$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 76c | 983$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked Yes | 43c | 959$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 20c | 910$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 41c | 906$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.54 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 36c | 866$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 58c | 848.1$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.69 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 60c | 829$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.01 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 57c | 822$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 39c | 805$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 61c | 664$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed Yes | 59c | 657$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 19c | 654$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 19c | 648$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 34c | 629$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed No | 59c | 626$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed Yes | 59c | 622$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed No | 57c | 596$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 61c | 579$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 21c | 560.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed Yes | 80c | 558$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 57c | 546$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked No | 48c | 521$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed Yes | 57c | 519$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed No | 20c | 509$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed No | 20c | 471$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 57c | 469$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked Yes | 59c | 453$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 70c | 442$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 59c | 427$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 20c | 422$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed No | 57c | 413$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked No | 57c | 396$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 41c | 390$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 43c | 384$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 31c | 381$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 22c | 375$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.03 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 69c | 364$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed No | 31c | 364$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked No | 29c | 363$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 41c | 360$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 54c | 358$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 22c | 357$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed No | 34c | 357$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 40c | 357$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 65c | 343$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed Yes | 50c | 323$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 78c | 318$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked No | 35c | 315$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 40c | 305$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 77c | 299.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed Yes | 67c | 299$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 33c | 299$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 74c | 292$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 73c | 291$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 78c | 268$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed No | 35c | 267$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb890…a592backed Yes | 22c | 266$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 79c | 262$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 61c | 259$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 18c | 259$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…7602backed No | 62c | 255$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed Yes | 69c | 252$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 53c | 249$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 34c | 249$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 35c | 249$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 66c | 249$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 57c | 248$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 19c | 242$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked No | 50c | 242$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 26c | 240$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 21c | 231.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.94 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 43c | 229$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 32c | 224$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 58c | 224$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes | 57c | 217$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…b750backed Yes | 38c | 202$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed No | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 41c | 195$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 57c | 187$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Yes | 41c | 181$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 62c | 179$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…ae79backed Yes | 66c | 173$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 20c | 169.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked No | 73c | 166$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 79c | 163$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Angelina LookingGlass be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Ayo Edebiri be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Chase Infiniti be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Emily Blunt be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Glenn Close be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hailee Steinfeld be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Laura Dern be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mari Yamamoto be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Regina Hall be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Samantha Morton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Teyana Taylor be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Thomasin McKenzie be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Tilda Swinton be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.