TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe72c…bbf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category AI at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.57
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$544.21
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+455.6%+$604.34
Will Owen Cooper win Best Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$81.36
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$128.64
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$318.82
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$245.7
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$545.67
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$117.84
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+64.3%+$259.94
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$112.52
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$111.93
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$163.2
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$142.76
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$152.46
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$272.55
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+44.7%+$24.1
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$64.26
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$52.7
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$146.59
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.16
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$168.46
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.13
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$136.74
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$702
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$76.02
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.09
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$722.3
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$122.5
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$171.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$359.1
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$216
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$261.51
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$278.11
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$653.64
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$71.28
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$308.81
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$235.44
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$113.73
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$68.88
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.1%+$180.12
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$157.68
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$284.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$250.3
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.07
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.54
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.76
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$28.6
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.48
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$64.86
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.7
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.04
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$134.75
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick43cpaid+166.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+91.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+80.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$534.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$373.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$326.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$41.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$115.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$87.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.