IPO · resolved market
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80f3e7fc5ea2f2d5a162aaa589b9ba067be58c9a4b411ff08a22b82ffcd5dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c64…ac0bbacked No | 0c | 10,904$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…b65fbacked No | 1c | 6,393$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…61f4backed No | 0c | 4,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked No | 7c | 4,228$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,778$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 52c | 2,838$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.39 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…ebaebacked No | 49c | 2,318$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 1c | 2,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 46c | 2,189$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 2,134$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…9a88backed Yes | 68c | 2,031$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 16c | 1,706$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 38c | 1,652$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed No | 45c | 1,528$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 4c | 1,457$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…1dd9backed No | 22c | 1,382$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…9084backed No | 46c | 1,332$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed Yes | 54c | 1,217$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,170$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed No | 34c | 1,150$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed Yes | 66c | 1,150$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec8…3b24backed Yes | 72c | 1,083$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…4e8fbacked Yes | 62c | 1,044$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…15eebacked No | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 54c | 963$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed No | 38c | 931$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…36eebacked No | 46c | 925$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed No | 46c | 853$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 65c | 843$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 35c | 843$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 55c | 842.08$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44cf…2211backed No | 6c | 841.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…a9d4backed No | 41c | 803.86$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed Yes | 55c | 788$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked No | 34c | 784$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…6de8backed No | 69c | 764$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked No | 77c | 746$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 40c | 742$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 55c | 740$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 68c | 724$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 32c | 724$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 36c | 704$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +392.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 64c | 693$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +282.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 676.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed Yes | 54c | 674$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…f815backed Yes | 62c | 673$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +189%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 46c | 673$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Yes | 64c | 672$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 36c | 661$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 46c | 654$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…5e1abacked No | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed No | 42c | 647$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed No | 34c | 643$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…981abacked No | 56c | 624.12$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…b45bbacked No | 56c | 623.48$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…6c71backed No | 56c | 621.54$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…e56bbacked No | 56c | 616.39$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…550ebacked No | 56c | 614.46$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…b333backed No | 56c | 614.37$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…0cebbacked No | 56c | 612.76$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…8b6abacked No | 49c | 612.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…61f7backed No | 56c | 610.87$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 46c | 605$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…de01backed No | 56c | 602.68$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…c8d8backed No | 56c | 592.89$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 17c | 587.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 33c | 577$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…db64backed Yes | 54c | 561$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed Yes | 23c | 524$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 27cpaid | +284.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 43c | 522$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 58c | 490$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 66c | 490$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…55bcbacked No | 3c | 487.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 62c | 484$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 26c | 461.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 66c | 460.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 31c | 458$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed No | 47c | 430.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 45c | 412$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…a2debacked No | 78c | 390$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 22c | 390$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 60c | 386.32$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed No | 78c | 383$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed Yes | 22c | 383$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 8c | 375.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…f6c6backed Yes | 53c | 374.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 39c | 372.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…8016backed No | 30c | 371.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 46c | 364.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 362.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…b8debacked No | 55c | 335.28$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…ccafbacked No | 56c | 333.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…373ebacked No | 55c | 328.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 57c | 328$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…818abacked No | 56c | 325.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Yes | 60c | 325$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?this page
- Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in August 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in March 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No won
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.