TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x090c…3c25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: AI, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category AI at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.82
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$283.04
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$164.01
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$208.32
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$72.96
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$178.22
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$193.9
Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$202.94
Will Jean Smart win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$265.1
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31.52
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$137.69
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$191.4
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.15
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$93.48
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$136.3
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$205.92
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+81.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$70.76
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$117.6
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$223.08
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$137.08
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.07
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$96.14
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.42
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$437.06
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$131.35
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56.7
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$209
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$26.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$267.84
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$139.88
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$144.15
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.16
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$84.24
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$219.87
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$172.48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.36
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+222.6%+$421.59
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$192.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$29.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.04
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.42
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.56
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.88
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$117.52
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$143.55
Will 1600 to 1649 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.08
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$68.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$99.9
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.85
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.4
Will Starmer say "Military" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.14
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$294.48
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$110.51
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 82% and 84%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$86.26
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$87.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+191.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$281.37
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$61.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68.88
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$391.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$153.52
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$87.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$410.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$78.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$187
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$69.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Texas A&M Aggies be the #6 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$83.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$204.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.