Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd016ee60f632cd2690df35d55178044fd1f6797482fab8ef3973d1b71e1ca44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 1,473$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 66c | 795$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 11c | 783$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 34c | 757$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 10c | 709$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 10c | 682$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 44c | 634.49$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed Yes | 10c | 539$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 419.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…7dadbacked Yes | 20c | 251.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Yes | 10c | 245$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 36c | 151$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 138.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 66c | 136$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Yes | 49c | 133.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked No | 16c | 128.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +320.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Yes | 34c | 106$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…a914backed Yes | 11c | 92.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…92fbbacked Yes | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed Yes | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked Yes | 68c | 50.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…24b1backed Yes | 60c | 18.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.