Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe2564b07061f0ae948ef446460b09e89bb48c779b80e0f9362997a94e28f77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,704$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed Yes | 19c | 1,493$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed Yes | 20c | 1,418$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed Yes | 19c | 1,363$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427e…5ab4backed Yes | 11c | 1,292$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 13c | 1,257$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Yes | 19c | 1,223$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 16c | 1,048$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 20c | 1,035$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Yes | 20c | 1,027$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 11c | 1,003$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked No | 80c | 987$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed Yes | 20c | 982$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked Yes | 8c | 980.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 11c | 978$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked Yes | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +248.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…b217backed Yes | 20c | 894$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 11c | 885$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 20c | 813$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 20c | 812$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked Yes | 11c | 806$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +353.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 72c | 735.71$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 80c | 722$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 11c | 706$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed No | 80c | 706$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 11c | 680$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes | 11c | 677$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 20c | 653$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed No | 80c | 632$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 11c | 626$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 19c | 592$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed No | 80c | 561$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed Yes | 11c | 529$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 19c | 517$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…8832backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 12cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…8ef0backed No | 80c | 467$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 80c | 434$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 20c | 434$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…36b2backed Yes | 11c | 429$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 11c | 428$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Yes | 20c | 422.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 80c | 385$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 19c | 378$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 29c | 372.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…6de8backed No | 80c | 367$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 362.28$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked No | 80c | 362$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 80c | 354$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed No | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 11c | 345$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 51c | 344.39$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 19c | 335$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 11c | 334$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Yes | 19c | 316$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 307$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 80c | 298$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed Yes | 20c | 298$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed Yes | 11c | 276$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 11c | 271$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked No | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed No | 80c | 262$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Yes | 20c | 262$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 11c | 245$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 77c | 238$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 80c | 231$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked No | 80c | 206$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 59c | 170.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 15c | 127.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed No | 80c | 99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +233%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 80c | 94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 26c | 78.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…2867backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.