World Politics · resolved market
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2b608e0a767d2778113b3d51cf18c555622632c74c665648539b0807b7b034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 3c | 5,019$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…84a5backed Yes | 79c | 4,336$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…571dbacked Yes | 77c | 3,390$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 26c | 3,141$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.62 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 1c | 2,890$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…98aebacked Yes | 71c | 2,834$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 1c | 2,655$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 15c | 2,602$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 23c | 2,168$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked No | 25c | 2,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 73c | 1,988$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 23c | 1,982$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.14 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…1be5backed Yes | 70c | 1,292$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 62c | 1,240$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.05 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked No | 27c | 1,084$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 23c | 999.58$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 65c | 974$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed No | 19c | 930$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…15fcbacked Yes | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 845.96$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…4e69backed No | 6c | 809.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed No | 20c | 794.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 35c | 747$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed No | 35c | 722$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 22c | 720$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 76c | 709.91$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 12c | 643.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdb…a2c4backed Yes | 70c | 600$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 75c | 598.7$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 64c | 593.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…0c66backed No | 25c | 576.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 25c | 518.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…12abbacked No | 31c | 450$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 30c | 437$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 73c | 432.89$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed No | 30c | 428$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 30c | 427$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…a589backed No | 18c | 422.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 18c | 412.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 75c | 399.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…9030backed No | 15c | 392.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 65c | 315.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 15c | 307.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 66c | 307.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaf…9512backed No | 19c | 302.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…f22abacked Yes | 77c | 300.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 24c | 280$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…f272backed No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…859cbacked No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee5…3ccabacked No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…472bbacked No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…f28ebacked No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…5974backed No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…a691backed No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7729…c6cabacked No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…12e6backed No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b0…2c20backed No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…8d08backed No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…2a3abacked No | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 75c | 275.42$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 37c | 265$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…e73bbacked No | 36c | 261$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…5b91backed No | 22c | 255$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…e091backed Yes | 68c | 251.62$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…fdf9backed Yes | 74c | 244.65$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c78…6c85backed Yes | 74c | 229.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 31c | 228$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 69c | 228$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…6388backed Yes | 79c | 218.72$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +331.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3768backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…94f7backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…27bebacked No | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Yes | 69c | 169.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed No | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…727cbacked No | 28c | 156.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…5909backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f07…b641backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…bd45backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad5…6b66backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…0869backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…c15bbacked Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…a827backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…a550backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…b073backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7b…36a6backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9c…2b98backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8094backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0bd1backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…c3a4backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…8d02backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0908…aa36backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…ebb8backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…da20backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…df4fbacked Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d9…6521backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…1c54backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…81c5backed Yes | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…cc8cbacked Yes | 64c | 153$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.