Movies · resolved market
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8fee5391348152f26f41b4f6ecb311ed0758a9bdef934413828dfb87717a414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 12c | 1,883$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 29c | 1,571$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked No | 79c | 1,304$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.84 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed No | 71c | 976$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed Yes | 21c | 691$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 21c | 613$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 71c | 595$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 78c | 277.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked No | 73c | 266$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Yes | 27c | 266$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…62eabacked Yes | 17c | 257.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 24c | 95.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 76.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?this page
- Will "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Yes won
- Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.