Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb659ad5613816216e65abbb049269b68d8f95cf098cd471b421bde5b2052a74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Illinois Salukisof Southern Illinois Salukis, Evansville Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,590 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 2,141$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 1,339$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 1,218$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c824backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 902$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 14c | 703$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +292.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 668$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 579$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 16c | 562$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 557$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 545$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 526$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 522$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 503$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 483$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 13c | 460$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 15cpaid | +443.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 454$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 433$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 410$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 374$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +377.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 371$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 15c | 360$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +468.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 337$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 52c | 331$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 316$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 12c | 309$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 13c | 287$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 14c | 264$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Evansville Aces | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 13c | 171$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +386.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Evansville Aces | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Evansville Aces | 55c | 131.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 54c | 68.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 46c | 59.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)this page
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville AcesSouthern Illinois Salukis won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 140.5Over won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5Over won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.