Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2839e5c6490326f88ba137acb22fb69f1e022a070995c34788c38994ed502458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Illinois Salukisof Southern Illinois Salukis, Evansville Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,814 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Evansville Aces | 34c | 1,666$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…68cabacked Evansville Aces | 34c | 1,645$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 1,438$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 1,412$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…4435backed Evansville Aces | 25c | 1,369$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 1,361$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked Evansville Aces | 34c | 1,241$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…4cf6backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 1,204$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +203%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…5a5fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 1,038$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed Evansville Aces | 12c | 981$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Evansville Aces | 17c | 978.7$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 76c | 820$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Evansville Aces | 34c | 820$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…41f6backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 76c | 799$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 777$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 751$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +292.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 76c | 729$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…fb12backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 76c | 729$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 76c | 716$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 691$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…3037backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 678$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 665$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 75c | 631$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…9ca7backed Evansville Aces | 34c | 619$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bb1ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 75c | 616$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +157%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 594$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…0d4cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 594$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 76c | 589$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 587$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c824backed Evansville Aces | 34c | 586$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Evansville Aces | 34c | 583$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 581$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Evansville Aces | 34c | 577$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 75c | 577$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 572$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 558$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 554$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 548$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 544$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 536$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 526$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 512$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 509$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 459$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 456$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…3c8ebacked Evansville Aces | 24c | 419$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Evansville Aces | 24c | 401$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 66c | 369$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Evansville Aces | 24c | 339$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Evansville Aces | 24c | 319$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 77c | 285$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Evansville Aces | 34c | 243$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Evansville Aces | 25c | 205$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…e13abacked Evansville Aces | 24c | 198$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Evansville Aces | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd4…c334backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 75c | 122$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 49c | 107.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Southern Illinois Salukis | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Evansville Aces | 50c | 91.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Evansville Aces | 26c | 78.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Evansville Aces | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 76c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…358fbacked Southern Illinois Salukis | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Evansville Aces | 38c | 39.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)this page
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville AcesSouthern Illinois Salukis won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 140.5Over won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5Over won
- Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)Southern Illinois Salukis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.