TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c2e…e025

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,356Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$460.34
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.74
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.46
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.79
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.28
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100.56
US strikes Yemen by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$344.61
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$570.96
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$85.8
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75.2
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$1,595.7
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$359.12
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$176.85
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$158.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$331.84
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$269.66
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$81.42
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.97
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$185.64
Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60.16
Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$209.67
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.3%+$33.48
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$727.04
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$293.12
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$87.77
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.9
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.65
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$161.92
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+249.9%+$769.89
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$219.45
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134.93
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$183.52
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$99.18
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$940.32
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.88
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$138.6
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+65.8%+$350.15
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.7%+$216.18
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$764.61
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+90.8%+$687.81
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$58.5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$246.98
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$235.5
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.49
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.2
Will Cristian Sanabria win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$359.52
Will Nepali Congress win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+792.9%+$126.1
Will the National Citizen Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$258.5
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$193.6
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$133.32
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$127.36
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$359.48
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+455.6%+$210.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$599.81
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$234.78
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.27
Will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.83
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.86
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$141.9
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+614.3%+$702.62
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$113.76
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$32.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.4
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$189.06
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.38
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$498.49
Will The Pitt win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$144.67
Will Noah Wyle win Best Actor in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$115.38
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$109.2
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$762.28
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70.72
Will Mike Sweeney - Conan O'Brien Must Go win Best Director of a Reality / Quiz & Game at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$136.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$169
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.1%+$359.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$593.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+525%+$247.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$296.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+221.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+221.6%+$611.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$79.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$19.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.