NFL · resolved market
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04511cb18767ea105be70c63eff351f8c95fd2a35bfd42684d9cd3ab514480aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 78c | 2,717$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.96 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…ecbfbacked No | 68c | 1,487$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,360$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9fa3backed Yes | 60c | 1,247$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked Yes | 59c | 1,097$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 41c | 942$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 60c | 923$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked Yes | 54c | 886$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed No | 46c | 811$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 14c | 763.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…b998backed No | 56c | 746.52$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a8…7e6bbacked Yes | 56c | 698.78$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 52c | 687$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 48c | 687$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…68cabacked No | 41c | 681$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed No | 40c | 584$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 39c | 575.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.72 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 59c | 571$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 40c | 557$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked No | 41c | 547$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed No | 69c | 533.96$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed No | 49c | 524.82$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked No | 49c | 499$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 43c | 477$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed No | 57c | 477$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 59c | 467$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 41c | 467$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 45c | 462$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 53c | 422.71$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…6487backed No | 40c | 419$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed Yes | 58c | 417$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed No | 42c | 417$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 41c | 416$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…26e0backed Yes | 59c | 416$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 41c | 401$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked No | 40c | 366$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 37c | 355.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 49c | 345.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 59c | 333.51$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 52c | 275.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 45c | 255$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 56c | 251.65$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked No | 40c | 244$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 55c | 238.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed No | 41c | 216$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed No | 41c | 202$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 179$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 36c | 175.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 49c | 175.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 51c | 174$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5892…8a85backed Yes | 58c | 172.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 34c | 165.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 37c | 161.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Yes | 50c | 159.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 59c | 155$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 45c | 153$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 40c | 151.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 51c | 136.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 66c | 126.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 64c | 125.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb235…c047backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…1917backed Yes | 60c | 117$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa29f…b607backed Yes | 48c | 103.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 51c | 98.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…2dccbacked No | 44c | 90.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…d406backed No | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…4044backed Yes | 45c | 78.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 37c | 75.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked No | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…46c4backed Yes | 41c | 72.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…d291backed No | 72c | 69.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 36c | 60.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 60.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…8080backed Yes | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…178dbacked Yes | 80c | 56.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 34c | 56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed No | 42c | 54.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 52c | 54.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 52c | 52.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…a0eebacked Yes | 42c | 52.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…3d3ebacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…a347backed Yes | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…d900backed No | 52c | 46.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…cbddbacked Yes | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…b0e2backed Yes | 65c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e0…6bacbacked No | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed No | 45c | 43.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked No | 57c | 43.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 43c | 42.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 67c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.