NFL · resolved market
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519d986045f10f6544cef7acaf5bfad6839908387e53707520d04f83355cd0f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a7e…ecbfbacked No | 67c | 5,595$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 62c | 3,158$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…bf8ebacked No | 55c | 2,978$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 36c | 2,963$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.75 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…632cbacked Yes | 72c | 2,139$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked No | 39c | 2,100$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 9c | 1,776$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +161.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 56c | 1,285$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.21 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,239$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…e8f5backed Yes | 65c | 1,016$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2009…903ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 14c | 982.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 34c | 920.71$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.75 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 11c | 820.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 56c | 794$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…3f97backed Yes | 60c | 769.13$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 53c | 761$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked No | 44c | 706$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf046…2614backed No | 46c | 680.18$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 47c | 662$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed No | 39c | 604$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…7861backed No | 40c | 592$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…df31backed Yes | 59c | 556.21$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 496.16$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.77 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fd…7a7bbacked No | 51c | 490.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked Yes | 53c | 485$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked No | 47c | 485$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 15c | 458.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…3273backed No | 40c | 457$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…04a9backed Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…589ebacked Yes | 61c | 414$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1d…fe6dbacked Yes | 72c | 356.82$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 39c | 351.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…d900backed No | 59c | 319.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 54c | 304.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8083backed Yes | 60c | 249.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 61c | 229.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeee…171dbacked Yes | 52c | 182.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 54c | 180$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…f2b8backed No | 57c | 175.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…4aa3backed No | 49c | 161.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 56c | 146$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 59c | 145$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…dd3abacked Yes | 53c | 141.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 38c | 116.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 51c | 111.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…765cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 49c | 100.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…a0eebacked Yes | 57c | 100.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 100.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…40bfbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 38c | 95.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30e…7153backed Yes | 53c | 93.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 59c | 91.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 57c | 91.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 54c | 91.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed No | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0484backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 39c | 85.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 62c | 80.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 65c | 76.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 39c | 76.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 52c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 47c | 72.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…5b73backed No | 57c | 63.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 57c | 61.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…71a6backed No | 50c | 59.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 46c | 58.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 54c | 52.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…4239backed Yes | 60c | 50.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…cbddbacked Yes | 58c | 49.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…bd4dbacked Yes | 71c | 44.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 38c | 42.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Yes | 56c | 42.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…4bf2backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…7146backed Yes | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 67c | 37.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af3…4314backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed No | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…4887backed Yes | 59c | 33.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 31c | 33.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…37bfbacked Yes | 55c | 30.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…e86fbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…d2a8backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…6c5ebacked Yes | 58c | 22.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.