NFL · resolved market
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4acfceb43cf75a9763dd0749f6311c34c86e7bae6b074e328044eef666854081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdad6…59edbacked No | 61c | 3,265$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 2,430$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.05 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 56c | 1,356$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed No | 44c | 1,097$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,085$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed No | 55c | 1,069$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 48c | 778$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 43c | 749.28$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.3 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 52c | 734$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes | 52c | 629$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 48c | 527$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf046…2614backed No | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked Yes | 51c | 444$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked No | 49c | 444$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 47c | 392.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 48c | 366.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 44c | 361.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.86 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 49c | 305.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 57c | 290$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked No | 44c | 251$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…cdddbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…f7cdbacked No | 58c | 150.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 49c | 150.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 49c | 148.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…a4a6backed No | 60c | 133.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 41c | 121.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 61c | 117.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffcc…3e2ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 42c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed No | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…3d3ebacked Yes | 55c | 90.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Yes | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 51c | 84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…0484backed No | 62c | 80.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 62c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…dd3abacked Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 74c | 69.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…765cbacked No | 61c | 65.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 42c | 63.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 45c | 61.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed No | 63c | 45.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 54c | 45.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 52c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Yes | 53c | 43.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…6604backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 40c | 38.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 44c | 37.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30e…7153backed No | 54c | 36.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked No | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…9d8bbacked Yes | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 39c | 30.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed No | 42c | 29.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 49c | 26.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 49c | 23.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 50c | 20.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…178bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.