NFL · resolved market
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18b36d6e91d6e6dc09addc5ebce6f648e96ddbab065af3f67e42af53fe34efed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 61c | 11,787$7,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,148.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 44c | 4,055$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.45 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…ecbfbacked No | 65c | 3,087$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 39c | 2,457$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2009…903ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,434$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a80…0a76backed No | 57c | 1,752$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,714$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 39c | 1,475$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 49c | 1,164$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.69 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…bf8ebacked No | 64c | 1,159$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…4fe7backed No | 59c | 1,150$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed No | 43c | 1,088$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…0e2bbacked No | 45c | 892.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed No | 62c | 884.05$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes | 47c | 852$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 55c | 828.45$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.21 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…5207backed Yes | 54c | 823.78$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 54c | 706.69$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed No | 69c | 644.29$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97a…77b1backed Yes | 50c | 594$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c4…7f21backed No | 38c | 498.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 47c | 487.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…c13fbacked No | 53c | 439$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 41c | 375.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 58c | 327.73$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 52c | 313.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed No | 30c | 312.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 56c | 309$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 65c | 283$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 36c | 281.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 55c | 233.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed No | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 43c | 217.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf046…2614backed No | 47c | 214.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed No | 53c | 211$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 49c | 204.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 47c | 204.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed No | 53c | 202$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…41d5backed No | 50c | 198.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 54c | 196.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 64c | 175$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…4239backed No | 69c | 170.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…2bc6backed No | 54c | 167$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…f6f2backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Yes | 48c | 163.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…a6f3backed Yes | 38c | 158.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…3873backed Yes | 32c | 155.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…4668backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…dd3abacked No | 48c | 137.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked No | 40c | 135.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…abccbacked No | 60c | 126.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…baebbacked No | 50c | 123.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…4368backed Yes | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 120.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked No | 39c | 117$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc0…3748backed No | 61c | 114.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…4bf2backed No | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 56c | 104.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…0427backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked No | 54c | 92.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 48c | 91.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…d406backed No | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 59c | 86.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed Yes | 53c | 85.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 42c | 84.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 46c | 82.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 53c | 79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Yes | 44c | 69.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked Yes | 16c | 65.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.58per pick | 22cpaid | +2,098.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked No | 47c | 64.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed No | 55c | 59.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 60c | 58.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…2b42backed Yes | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 38c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…40bfbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…aa63backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…3d3ebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605b…df31backed No | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 39c | 49.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 48c | 49.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Yes | 54c | 46.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.