NFL · resolved market
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248b86fe4fbe920da0a25ca47b1c5b76835d260d4c897cf06b96ac72ebd22f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 78c | 1,837$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.16 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 22c | 1,825$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.74 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes | 41c | 1,750$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 1,060$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.44 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 41c | 932.83$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 35c | 841$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 45c | 759$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 38c | 605$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 62c | 605$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 65c | 543$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 44c | 524$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Yes | 40c | 391.31$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 55c | 348$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 55c | 333$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked No | 63c | 319$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 37c | 319$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 65c | 284$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 54c | 268.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 56c | 263$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed No | 56c | 261$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…f2b8backed No | 67c | 248.26$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked No | 77c | 215.26$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 75c | 203.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…90ffbacked Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Yes | 63c | 144.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 132.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 79c | 130.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 33c | 129.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed No | 57c | 126.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 49c | 123.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…fa22backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked No | 55c | 78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…018fbacked Yes | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 70.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 32c | 67.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…4aa3backed No | 60c | 66.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 27c | 59.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 53c | 58.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…9aabbacked No | 71c | 56.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 42c | 46.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 184 | 27.7%51 W · 133 L | -18.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd541…f834backed Yes | 65c | 46.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 41.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 40.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…baebbacked No | 64c | 38.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…0adfbacked No | 54c | 38.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…7830backed Yes | 40c | 37.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 45c | 37.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 33c | 36.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…3f97backed No | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdafb…ed1ebacked No | 67c | 30.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…11f4backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Yes | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 41c | 26.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 71c | 18.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b795backed No | 71c | 18.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?this page
- Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Te Boté - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will Tití Me Preguntó be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes won
- Will Yonaguni be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
- Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.