TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6f5…d7aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Movies, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 60 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$284.99
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.88
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$691.31
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.64
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.6
Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.76
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$122.4
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$570.12
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$634.4
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$87.32
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.6
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$171.11
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$15
Will "Supreme Court" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$141.78
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$238.64
Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.92
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$56.24
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$245.48
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.16
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.25
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$196.16
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$570.24
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.43
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.66
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.09
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$173.42
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$490.6
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+284.6%+$734.82
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+426.3%+$86.67
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$368.03
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$42.33
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$130.51
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42.34
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+354.5%+$116.22
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+392.4%+$951.49
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$178.71
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$114.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.2
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$506
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.88
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$112.8
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$255.4
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$43.5
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$142.19
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.36
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$51.75
Will Trump say "B2" or "F35" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$237.77
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+376.2%+$458.2
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$118.16
Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.85
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+488.2%+$505.47
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$89.37
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$426.6
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$105.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$54.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.34
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$139.13
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$66.96
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.06
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.53
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$168.6
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.04
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$128.05
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.4
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$262.35
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$911.08
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$97.02
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$123.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+74.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$133.28
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$274.29
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.51
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$113.68
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+426.3%+$622.89
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$248.4
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$153.36
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$63.13
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+300%+$493.5
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$128.52
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$53.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$338.25
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$166.5
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$302.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+525%+$332.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$231.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+170.3%+$376.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$129.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$238.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$77.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$204.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$636.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.