World Politics · resolved market
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1cf62a9c61a51b2c1eb1959d17fe8c8970e31958559c150de7ad242b9554ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,994$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 19c | 1,710$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…b32ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…f339backed Yes | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…5d25backed Yes | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…9bc5backed Yes | 40c | 1,246$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 72c | 1,034$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +183.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked No | 72c | 981$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 72c | 979$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 62c | 938$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 62c | 932$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 37c | 889.67$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.82 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…d32bbacked No | 60c | 833$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3128backed No | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…c3c0backed No | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…fca8backed No | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529a…7022backed No | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…e9eabacked No | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked Yes | 77c | 797.92$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…1345backed Yes | 64c | 783.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 47c | 727.35$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.96 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…4b40backed Yes | 35c | 662.88$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked No | 64c | 658$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed Yes | 36c | 658$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes | 38c | 657$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 38c | 619$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…4957backed Yes | 33c | 598.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes | 38c | 594$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 64c | 558.14$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…6f03backed Yes | 53c | 539.88$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 44c | 505.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…dc55backed Yes | 9c | 438.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 58c | 432.61$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 36c | 409.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073b…5aabbacked Yes | 42c | 343.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 342.38$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…8618backed Yes | 5c | 267.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 30c | 246.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…9545backed No | 37c | 245.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab1…3608backed Yes | 44c | 225.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…ceb3backed Yes | 48c | 209.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 11c | 201.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed Yes | 15c | 198.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 28c | 198$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d2…c781backed Yes | 77c | 196.79$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…2410backed Yes | 42c | 194.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 21c | 170$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 26c | 154.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 20c | 152.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…1bd3backed No | 67c | 148.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…32bbbacked Yes | 67c | 148.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 137.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 48c | 125.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c40bbacked No | 63c | 124.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…5d45backed Yes | 39c | 123.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…5ec7backed Yes | 44c | 120.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…626dbacked No | 31c | 114.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 35c | 111$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 25c | 106.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x915c…2dbebacked Yes | 44c | 103.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11f…5300backed Yes | 39c | 103.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 102.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 26c | 101.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 41c | 92.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed No | 59c | 86.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 84.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…d4e1backed No | 62c | 81.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…1e37backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 33c | 76.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 56c | 68.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 61c | 55.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…2151backed Yes | 54c | 55.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed Yes | 24c | 50.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…fb47backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 49.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…df92backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 36c | 44.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 35c | 43.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 46c | 41.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…d7a4backed No | 50c | 40.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…0685backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…855bbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +243%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 39c | 38.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 35c | 38.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 49c | 37.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…1876backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…ec00backed Yes | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 64c | 30.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 44c | 24.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…b525backed Yes | 56c | 22.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…05ddbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?this page
- Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will Our Country (ND) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.