TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8697…4165backed Yes80c1,681$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89f…1c44backed Yes74c1,290$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.141947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ef…f5cebacked No20c1,120$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-72.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked No42c1,095$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes67c920$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.61070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+114.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5481…50ecbacked No33c920$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.61050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+98.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0657backed Yes58c812$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe03a…439fbacked Yes80c772.81$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c6…e25ebacked No42c734$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0042…e62fbacked No20c561$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.21323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No50c530$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.817330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bca…0edebacked Yes63c503.97$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes58c496$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes58c494$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b62…438cbacked No23c449.87$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5912556.8%71 W · 54 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7be…ee1dbacked Yes76c383.27$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.86683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x521b…db60backed No49c357.04$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1560%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x91ba…c705backed Yes75c351$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+69%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c1…6512backed No25c351$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes55c336.24$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1514827.1%13 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes44c325.64$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.032176.2%16 W · 5 L+7.0wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+79.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9a0d…6f03backed No56c325.54$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6760%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked No16c306.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbd…6e72backed No21c297.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.228354.2%45 W · 38 L+18.2wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+66.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0367…1c15backed No53c289$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+171.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…7fd9backed Yes47c289$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.17560%3 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick20cpaid+247.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a2…560ebacked No8c281.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233925.6%10 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0e…4a61backed No79c260.11$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked No26c255.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed No21c211.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.591827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked No19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389850%49 W · 49 L+16.1wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+40.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc4f3…9e3abacked Yes51c194.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb96…9545backed Yes53c178.53$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad70…4ccfbacked No21c172.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.787216.7%12 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-55.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No13c171.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.234766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7653…b1e4backed No64c156.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No8c148.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2414225.4%36 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30d1…4525backed No44c138.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.35538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes51c136.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.351,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked No22c135.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4915022.7%34 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No23c132.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7227438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No20c130.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.231,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a3…12f0backed Yes79c126.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.831291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick68cpaid+40.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12fb…8e25backed Yes48c114.44$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b40…e937backed No21c105.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.243644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ee…d1cbbacked No15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4616343.6%71 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae8…5673backed No56c89.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes44c77.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5228430.3%86 W · 198 L+0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No32c74.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8999017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7da9…d7a4backed No57c69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…0e4ebacked No58c66.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No31c66.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5146330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc77b…a526backed No44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.257638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8673…61d5backed No54c65.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed No80c55.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.12714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick59cpaid-72.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed No31c53.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed Yes78c52.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5715446.8%72 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c4…ff13backed Yes48c51.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e1…cb59backed Yes43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+108.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Yes70c49.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes46c49.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.485831%18 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b28…e85ebacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ebf…286ebacked Yes80c43.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…4916backed Yes62c40.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.781020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f0…c994backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x190b…23bfbacked Yes56c38.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed No42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662b…eb47backed No36c32.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.582638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfa…f779backed No44c30.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Yes73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes52c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5516834.5%58 W · 110 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341450%7 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+88.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f03…6002backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes69c22.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9318246.2%84 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cea…0685backed No53c21.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-73.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb4…d7c9backed Yes50c20.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes55c20.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0443243.1%186 W · 246 L+29.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc752…62e1backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfad9…a3d2backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6688…fdcebacked No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.