World Politics · resolved market
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13868b2e3652b3d226fa431be9aef48f1fe4ab34d6aad850eedaa337d15faf81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 74c | 6,439$4,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…9ce4backed Yes | 21c | 3,996$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 6c | 3,176$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed No | 55c | 1,428$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.71 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbe5backed Yes | 53c | 1,308$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 55c | 1,303$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…dc55backed Yes | 34c | 1,231$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc013…f52ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,133$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…22ecbacked Yes | 25c | 906.84$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked No | 79c | 869.04$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Yes | 19c | 848$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…4580backed No | 77c | 819$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 19c | 812$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…cd9cbacked Yes | 3c | 808.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 77c | 807$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…52b3backed Yes | 4c | 795.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7be…ee1dbacked Yes | 39c | 791.73$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 23c | 775$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8424…a98cbacked Yes | 23c | 771.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 23c | 765$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…e502backed Yes | 18c | 741$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…51dbbacked No | 71c | 707.46$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 45c | 704.97$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.67 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a634backed Yes | 45c | 672$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 45c | 631$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 44c | 532.39$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.04 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…d7a4backed Yes | 34c | 527.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…237dbacked Yes | 5c | 521.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…88e0backed Yes | 55c | 513.16$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 32c | 487.8$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4b…6298backed Yes | 73c | 436.5$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…522dbacked Yes | 23c | 417.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 74c | 413.2$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 60c | 398.66$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.46 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed No | 75c | 397.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…8e25backed Yes | 34c | 394.63$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…15a7backed Yes | 26c | 388.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 72c | 348.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…e976backed Yes | 29c | 346.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 53c | 339.16$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2329…3ef5backed No | 60c | 322.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 74c | 322.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…74ccbacked Yes | 30c | 304.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab1…3608backed Yes | 33c | 299.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2870…419cbacked Yes | 50c | 273.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…9cd8backed Yes | 16c | 247.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7b…8326backed Yes | 57c | 243.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 77c | 228.68$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…c98ebacked Yes | 50c | 228.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…34c5backed Yes | 50c | 225.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked Yes | 19c | 224$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…6f0fbacked Yes | 15c | 221.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…6238backed Yes | 47c | 214.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…45e3backed Yes | 51c | 213.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…fc78backed Yes | 15c | 211.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 29c | 204.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x601b…da54backed Yes | 24c | 204.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Yes | 25c | 203.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 15c | 190$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed No | 53c | 185.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…d4e1backed Yes | 50c | 183.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 75c | 175.66$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 22c | 175.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…2f42backed Yes | 46c | 175$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…974bbacked Yes | 19c | 172$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…fd5dbacked No | 61c | 165.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…3a8bbacked Yes | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 17c | 153.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…54e5backed No | 66c | 151.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…e186backed Yes | 28c | 151.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…2169backed No | 78c | 149.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…41dcbacked No | 65c | 137.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…2e7fbacked Yes | 49c | 136.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe56…20cbbacked Yes | 15c | 132.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…5b4dbacked Yes | 30c | 126$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55a…f8f0backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 71c | 120.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…018abacked Yes | 31c | 119.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…d1cbbacked No | 51c | 114.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 41c | 113.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073b…5aabbacked Yes | 19c | 108.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 26c | 106.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9754…5757backed Yes | 14c | 103.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e29…5c2ebacked Yes | 36c | 103.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…b759backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…10b1backed Yes | 15c | 96.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…64ddbacked No | 69c | 91.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed No | 64c | 90.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115c…d956backed Yes | 40c | 87.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…7359backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…0d0ebacked Yes | 24c | 82.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…cd20backed No | 54c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4617…0c10backed Yes | 57c | 79.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 39c | 78.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 72.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…7623backed Yes | 16c | 69.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 78c | 67.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe9…db21backed No | 76c | 61.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?this page
- Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will Our Country (ND) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
- Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.