TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x997b…801ebacked No74c6,439$4,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9100…9ce4backed Yes21c3,996$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes6c3,176$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.265831%18 W · 40 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b40…e937backed No55c1,428$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.713644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0486…fbe5backed Yes53c1,308$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29f…26b4backed No55c1,303$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4010…dc55backed Yes34c1,231$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc013…f52ebacked Yes20c1,133$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e27…22ecbacked Yes25c906.84$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…f6febacked No79c869.04$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.72922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6546…c454backed Yes19c848$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x628e…4580backed No77c819$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Yes19c812$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+80.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49d2…cd9cbacked Yes3c808.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked No77c807$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-62.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d7…52b3backed Yes4c795.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7be…ee1dbacked Yes39c791.73$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16a0…72f1backed Yes23c775$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2570%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8424…a98cbacked Yes23c771.01$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Yes23c765$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.951546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2c…e502backed Yes18c741$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…51dbbacked No71c707.46$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-64.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b62…438cbacked No45c704.97$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6712556.8%71 W · 54 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325a…a634backed Yes45c672$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked Yes45c631$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+117.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked No44c532.39$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0443243.1%186 W · 246 L+29.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7da9…d7a4backed Yes34c527.03$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…237dbacked Yes5c521.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8985…88e0backed Yes55c513.16$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes32c487.8$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.624827.1%13 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4b…6298backed Yes73c436.5$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd85c…522dbacked Yes23c417.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No74c413.2$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.215932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No60c398.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4617330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed No75c397.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12fb…8e25backed Yes34c394.63$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6522…15a7backed Yes26c388.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No72c348.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.211,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb3…e976backed Yes29c346.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbd…6e72backed No53c339.16$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.388354.2%45 W · 38 L+18.2wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+66.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2329…3ef5backed No60c322.87$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked No74c322.72$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf4…74ccbacked Yes30c304.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab1…3608backed Yes33c299.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2870…419cbacked Yes50c273.4$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99df…9cd8backed Yes16c247.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7b…8326backed Yes57c243.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No77c228.68$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4510151.5%52 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bf…c98ebacked Yes50c228.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff6…34c5backed Yes50c225.04$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x987e…990dbacked Yes19c224$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f9…6f0fbacked Yes15c221.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.16825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfddf…6238backed Yes47c214.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…45e3backed Yes51c213.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd4…fc78backed Yes15c211.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes29c204.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9644921.2%95 W · 354 L-21.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x601b…da54backed Yes24c204.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Yes25c203.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed Yes15c190$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3315446.8%72 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed No53c185.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…d4e1backed Yes50c183.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.761540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+51.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No75c175.66$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.916737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No22c175.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.87526.7%20 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.12per pick14cpaid+63.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c14…2f42backed Yes46c175$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc8…974bbacked Yes19c172$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe610…fd5dbacked No61c165.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.08650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb508…3a8bbacked Yes61c164.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked Yes17c153.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.665940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f7…54e5backed No66c151.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf6…e186backed Yes28c151.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…2169backed No78c149.44$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked No79c140$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2928430.3%86 W · 198 L+0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…41dcbacked No65c137.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb11d…2e7fbacked Yes49c136.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe56…20cbbacked Yes15c132.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf2…5b4dbacked Yes30c126$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55a…f8f0backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked No71c120.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.943458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a52…018abacked Yes31c119.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-72.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ee…d1cbbacked No51c114.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.06714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes41c113.58$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.437117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x073b…5aabbacked Yes19c108.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes26c106.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1916343.6%71 W · 92 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9754…5757backed Yes14c103.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e29…5c2ebacked Yes36c103.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…b759backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b97…10b1backed Yes15c96.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ffa…64ddbacked No69c91.27$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-79.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x872c…40e0backed No64c90.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.971450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x115c…d956backed Yes40c87.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…7359backed Yes23c86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc77b…0d0ebacked Yes24c82.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9b…cd20backed No54c81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4617…0c10backed Yes57c79.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45100%0 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes39c78.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4527438.3%105 W · 169 L-32.3wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes28c72.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8899017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd045…7623backed Yes16c69.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed No78c67.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.948552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe9…db21backed No76c61.76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.