TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe56…20cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4276.2%32 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.71
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.94
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$33.71
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.34
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.34
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.81
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.22
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.91
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.23
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.79
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.