TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Wolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$496,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$461,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Spurs67c47,587$31,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,703.5720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Wolves33c40,263$13,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,244.71,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Wolves8c28,990$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.233718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wolves15c25,003$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,819.751,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Wolves10c22,128$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.776639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked Spurs77c19,677$15,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,517.043745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Wolves24c18,536$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,395.285728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Wolves8c15,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Wolves10c13,707$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.2531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e3a…ba94backed Wolves14c12,000$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+124.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Wolves21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4795…2ae4backed Spurs79c8,481$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a5…ee3dbacked Wolves29c8,014$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-73.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Wolves33c7,653$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.618143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Wolves11c7,513$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.4813534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Wolves11c7,085$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.56520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Wolves20c6,904$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.0889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Spurs76c6,766$5,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.641442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs65c6,659$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.621,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs68c5,715$3,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.4759653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Wolves35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.984035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.9744252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Wolves9c4,996$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0917250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Wolves10c4,571$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.778353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Wolves22c4,295$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.85534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4805…6c7bbacked Wolves24c4,105$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.81241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Wolves25c3,912$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9957638.2%29 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Wolves11c3,881$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.44120%0 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8d…95b0backed Wolves34c3,527$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Wolves14c3,432$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1725840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Wolves16c3,300$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.991234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Wolves18c3,274$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.348345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Spurs66c3,023$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.542157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Spurs66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0209540%38 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Spurs77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6902100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wolves18c2,967$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.541,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8c…3816backed Wolves10c2,922$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+87.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Wolves11c2,823$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc97b…879dbacked Spurs79c2,780$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.71526.7%4 W · 11 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-61.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Wolves17c2,721$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5646426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Spurs78c2,531$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.0117162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Spurs66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8502339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wolves34c2,455$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.8266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Wolves31c2,432$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07c…bbb0backed Wolves9c2,415$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.324027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…4afebacked Wolves13c2,100$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1eb…7afebacked Wolves10c2,060$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.956547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed Spurs80c2,000$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.935850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Spurs66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6803658.3%21 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…c9cabacked Spurs78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Spurs77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.991,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ace…6069backed Wolves19c1,613$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3085328.3%15 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6af7…5a6fbacked Wolves26c1,600$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4161546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Spurs78c1,594$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.835756.1%32 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Spurs73c1,538$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.7644345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Wolves33c1,532$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.4314854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Wolves13c1,516$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.075352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Spurs79c1,500$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.981421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xde27…2cfdbacked Wolves35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…9a53backed Wolves20c1,402$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wolves33c1,367$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.232,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Spurs79c1,321$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3136751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Wolves25c1,315$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8725845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wolves23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.851,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2a…cf29backed Spurs79c1,272$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ff…3d49backed Wolves12c1,266$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2550%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xede0…9aa7backed Spurs79c1,248$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7334…cc1cbacked Wolves9c1,232$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.762642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…64b0backed Spurs65c1,231$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcc…d87cbacked Spurs64c1,190$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Wolves22c1,169$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25613644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed Wolves9c1,144$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4443…82d2backed Wolves9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Wolves13c1,025$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e45…1efbbacked Spurs79c1,000$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1406…996bbacked Wolves10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Wolves20c1,000$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Wolves3c921.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.07969.4%9 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed Wolves23c914.9$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.432835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed Wolves12c912.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510144.6%45 W · 56 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Wolves12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6363…b44fbacked Wolves28c895.27$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Wolves15c872.48$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.874946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Wolves13c859.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1410855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34c4…2249backed Wolves12c849.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…bcc2backed Wolves15c794.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.633016.7%5 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Wolves33c738.7$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d01…748cbacked Wolves27c728.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed Spurs79c725.65$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.721164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x130d…75c3backed Spurs77c719.98$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf8…b8eabacked Spurs78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.94862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Spurs78c683.5$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2414446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Wolves18c665.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.29235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…2918backed Wolves10c663.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890d…e39cbacked Wolves23c648.42$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Wolves9c639.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605422.2%12 W · 42 L-11.5wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed Spurs75c630$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.95742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wolves22c629.26$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.382,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa245…bf9ebacked Wolves33c625.3$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.872060%12 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.