Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f453768fca620057f8abc6403ab7d4a4528c05d2895d2f6168edc23b82f8c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,623,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,677,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,623,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 39c | 608,571$239,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368,688.93 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes | 60c | 386,669$232,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232,001.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 59c | 359,129$213,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,683.06 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed No | 42c | 298,792$126,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,899.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Yes | 61c | 239,917$145,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,950.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 60c | 200,000$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 50c | 171,587$86,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,465.15 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 61c | 170,842$103,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,874.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 109,866$58,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,042.59 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…120ebacked Yes | 57c | 101,807$58,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,030.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 0c | 100,054$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.62 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 39c | 93,118$36,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,368.89 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Yes | 61c | 80,408$48,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,860.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Yes | 31c | 77,351$23,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,978.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 39c | 76,923$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,923.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 40c | 75,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,999.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Yes | 61c | 71,092$43,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,083.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 49c | 68,855$33,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,006.78 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Yes | 61c | 66,292$40,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,438.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 41c | 60,102$24,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,459.89 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed No | 39c | 59,395$23,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,230.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 57c | 56,996$32,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,524.32 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 53c | 51,224$27,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,104.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Yes | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…4ce8backed No | 40c | 49,999$19,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 40c | 45,250$17,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,350.83 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes | 59c | 44,869$26,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,472.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 54c | 40,862$21,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,877.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Yes | 58c | 39,875$23,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,286.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 59c | 39,825$23,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,694.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 56c | 35,182$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,700 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 63c | 31,913$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,913.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 57c | 30,879$17,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,553.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 30,447$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.86 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 29,321$9,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,118.52 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 41c | 28,348$11,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,622.83 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed No | 40c | 25,488$10,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,292.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Yes | 61c | 25,488$15,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,547.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 60c | 25,020$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,019.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 59c | 23,905$14,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,104.14 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 23,616$9,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,388.63 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 60c | 22,207$13,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,803.02 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 34c | 21,665$7,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,282 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Yes | 60c | 21,600$12,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,959.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 40c | 21,387$8,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765.1 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 3c | 21,144$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.87 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 60c | 20,250$12,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,150 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Yes | 57c | 19,898$11,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,307.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 41c | 19,512$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,512.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…b418backed No | 40c | 19,311$7,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,586.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 60c | 17,700$10,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 60c | 17,700$10,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,620 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 41c | 17,500$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Yes | 60c | 17,493$10,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,495.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…1644backed Yes | 42c | 16,486$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 16,100$6,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 60c | 15,800$9,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,480 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked No | 56c | 15,214$8,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,672.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 41c | 14,445$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,522.28 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 46c | 14,036$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.93 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 11c | 13,949$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.12 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 42c | 11,666$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 29c | 11,551$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.69 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed No | 62c | 11,100$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Yes | 61c | 11,000$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,710 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 9c | 10,922$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.27 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 59c | 10,246$6,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,045.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 33c | 10,100$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.69 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 40c | 10,085$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04cd…7122backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 60c | 10,000$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 40c | 10,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.3 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 26c | 9,751$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…d00ebacked Yes | 7c | 9,709$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…7e50backed Yes | 31c | 9,677$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 43c | 9,500$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,415 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 59c | 9,327$5,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,502.93 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 0c | 9,021$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 29c | 8,879$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…e799backed No | 40c | 8,800$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes | 60c | 8,750$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 57c | 8,700$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 43c | 8,532$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.06 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 8c | 8,500$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 40c | 8,459$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.52 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 8,305$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.55 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 61c | 8,100$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 41c | 8,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes | 59c | 7,740$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…2ee9backed Yes | 59c | 7,568$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 41c | 7,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 9c | 7,500$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 39c | 7,261$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.