Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd82e290278038064d836ea912e3989fb7bae996b73d5a5e6910e3c5ac01ae136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,764,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,764,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,764,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,084 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 77c | 349,995$269,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,498.88 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 249,997$192,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,499.41 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 23c | 181,943$42,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,543.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 74c | 136,834$101,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,576.79 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 121,802$31,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,475.52 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 47c | 110,950$52,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,228.13 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Yes | 23c | 99,833$22,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,519.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 85,236$63,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,392.36 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8708…7981backed Yes | 47c | 83,258$39,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,279.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 62c | 80,611$49,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,924.47 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 55c | 59,342$32,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,415.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Yes | 41c | 55,570$22,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,842.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 52,762$12,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,196.04 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Yes | 23c | 50,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 47,842$36,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,787.16 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 22c | 44,191$9,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,722.08 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 43,993$13,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,697.97 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…f06dbacked No | 78c | 43,194$33,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,546.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 38,277$29,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.86 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 77c | 38,000$29,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,739.94 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 44c | 34,497$15,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,033.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Yes | 23c | 33,853$7,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,786.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +86%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…b418backed Yes | 23c | 31,376$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,216.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 78c | 31,206$24,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,865.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed No | 73c | 29,818$21,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,172.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 29c | 28,575$8,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,174.89 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…c804backed Yes | 40c | 28,390$11,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,455.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 23c | 27,174$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 26,695$20,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,498.96 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 76c | 26,471$20,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,278.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 78c | 25,440$19,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 26c | 23,322$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 74c | 23,265$17,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,149.25 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 23c | 21,739$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 46c | 21,570$9,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,922.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ee…4bfabacked No | 78c | 21,106$16,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 53c | 20,842$11,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,819.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…1603backed Yes | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.94 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…323cbacked Yes | 23c | 19,478$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 18,933$9,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,590.11 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 17,989$13,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.85 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 23c | 16,851$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.67 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 77c | 15,532$11,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 14,449$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.22 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 25c | 14,400$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 69c | 14,172$9,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,764.77 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes | 24c | 13,566$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…f0bcbacked Yes | 74c | 13,428$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,920.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…f037backed Yes | 43c | 13,322$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 73c | 13,060$9,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Yes | 48c | 12,828$6,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,153.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6febbacked Yes | 71c | 12,453$8,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2244…382ebacked Yes | 23c | 11,625$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 22c | 11,364$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…1644backed Yes | 46c | 11,330$5,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,248.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 23c | 11,141$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.51 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 11,128$8,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.31 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c7…3ba9backed Yes | 2c | 10,769$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes | 23c | 10,548$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…549bbacked Yes | 23c | 10,539$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 39c | 10,369$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.26 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 38c | 10,235$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed Yes | 23c | 10,200$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…6a60backed Yes | 23c | 10,078$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…a640backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 23c | 10,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.98 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed No | 52c | 9,935$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 18c | 9,729$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed No | 46c | 9,646$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 47c | 9,613$4,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.38 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 25c | 9,398$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 25c | 9,165$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Yes | 44c | 9,091$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 28c | 9,037$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…d4b1backed Yes | 23c | 9,008$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 76c | 9,000$6,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 47c | 8,954$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 23c | 8,787$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Yes | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…52c8backed Yes | 23c | 8,502$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 79c | 8,474$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Yes | 23c | 8,261$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…88aebacked Yes | 24c | 8,064$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…3e67backed Yes | 23c | 8,043$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 77c | 8,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 23c | 8,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 77c | 7,963$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 7,457$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.79 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 75c | 7,332$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.27 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…bcc3backed Yes | 23c | 6,980$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 77c | 6,653$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.22 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 36c | 6,650$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.49 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 6,612$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.97 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.