TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,086,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,104,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,086,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 629 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes18c111,902$20,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,760.015745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No77c55,554$42,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,646.6172335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes18c47,857$8,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,242.893852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c44,843$8,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,769.7588631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes18c44,444$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,444.443652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes17c37,060$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,7604658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes18c35,313$6,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,956.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+86%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes21c27,671$5,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,949.0610536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes65c19,233$12,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,799.8820948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c16,036$6,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,182.5539743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No26c12,077$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.3412348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb456…4347backed Yes28c11,117$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,011.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes22c10,542$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,219.4524340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes18c10,250$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,405837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes20c10,047$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,046.751346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes18c10,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,199.965446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c8,394$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,956.221,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes23c8,302$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,352.842035%7 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Yes20c8,000$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,415.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+79.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No80c7,997$6,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,397.93063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No75c6,994$5,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,240.831546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes18c6,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,466.675352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes24c6,227$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,727.111136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd96…eec0backed Yes43c5,858$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes18c5,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.5610631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes18c5,423$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick23cpaid+363%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No78c4,869$3,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.733647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes21c4,824$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+141.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes24c4,278$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.973850%19 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes17c4,278$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.761717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8740…6facbacked No78c4,168$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbd…6a77backed Yes18c4,090$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,353.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes21c4,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1605829.3%17 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+158%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes22c4,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes20c4,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2006952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes17c3,777$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.4611843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x676a…a7c7backed Yes18c3,760$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.523030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes19c3,742$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.132650%13 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes18c3,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,87014532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes18c3,083$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.332740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No39c3,000$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.8412737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29ab…a640backed Yes18c3,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes18c3,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.969040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes17c2,997$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.9310849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c2,783$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.0227236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes18c2,778$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b90…52aebacked Yes18c2,778$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.782920.7%6 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c2,451$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2717466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes18c2,407$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.061520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes50c2,271$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.621136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c2,253$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.3446741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes18c2,212$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.843429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed No79c2,127$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.033959%23 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes26c2,028$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes17c1,913$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.0211743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes27c1,872$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.72825%7 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes17c1,761$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.8929136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes18c1,743$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.532025%5 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes18c1,716$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.351513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes18c1,667$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes18c1,556$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick24cpaid+189.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes18c1,542$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.713917.9%7 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes18c1,517$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.942433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Yes19c1,477$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.371050%5 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+73.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab93…c40bbacked Yes28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8284…86f0backed Yes18c1,389$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.89837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick18cpaid+116.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b5d…cdfcbacked Yes18c1,389$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebf…f3c5backed Yes18c1,389$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.89147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes18c1,382$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.664643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe532…f9b9backed Yes18c1,374$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.272250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes69c1,362$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.017364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c1b…63ddbacked Yes19c1,338$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.38837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes15c1,300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.98633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Yes18c1,278$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes18c1,233$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No75c1,228$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.862231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes18c1,217$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.672441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x579c…120cbacked Yes24c1,211$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No72c1,179$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.8712144.6%54 W · 67 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9194…f1debacked Yes20c1,158$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes19c1,150$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes67c1,138$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.1735860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes36c1,128$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.194827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.11922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f0…f002backed Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d83…8986backed Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.111428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.111369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4573…2c90backed Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.111136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc9…4df4backed Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95cd…8efebacked Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.11850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.113860.5%23 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+76.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes33c1,057$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yes19c1,056$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+99.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No22c1,050$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.767454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2df…3b97backed Yes24c1,042$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.67520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c1,025$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.821,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes18c1,022$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.22540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8203852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Yes17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8301457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Yes27c999.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.