TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$457,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$488,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed No4c76,498$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…a84bbacked Yes28c32,446$9,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,361.372040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes29c26,486$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,936.627762.3%48 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes31c21,025$6,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,434.733423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes30c18,590$5,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,938.0938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c14,203$7,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No72c12,000$8,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,639.9229646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No72c11,132$8,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,057.953,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes63c10,846$6,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.1538960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No70c10,421$7,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,256.642,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.6920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No70c8,251$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,800.052,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No70c6,256$4,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.9816331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No67c5,904$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.852,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes27c5,338$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.927642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No70c4,609$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.721,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No17c4,122$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No71c4,036$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.5121343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No72c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes31c3,607$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.653756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x506b…b0febacked No72c3,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5206111.5%7 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed No70c3,446$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.35360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No69c2,991$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.0920844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46bf…8ed2backed No70c2,799$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf924…a0ccbacked No73c2,706$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes29c2,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a3…a36abacked No72c2,473$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Yes32c2,253$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.751957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed No71c2,118$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.0916546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes31c2,100$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.8947648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed No72c2,079$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes29c2,000$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.1133555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.9819545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c1,927$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.492,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No63c1,842$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.462,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c1,708$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.691,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a8…d6f1backed No71c1,686$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.064332.6%14 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed No69c1,675$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.847153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed No72c1,639$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1804932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked No67c1,576$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.0832422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No66c1,534$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.5831545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.1417748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Yes28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9722643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked No68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.964639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No71c1,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.952729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No71c1,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.916647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked No68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No69c1,440$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.961,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No70c1,430$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00125537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9e…518ebacked No70c1,429$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6f…573abacked Yes28c1,393$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.862045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8e…776ebacked No72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No68c1,377$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.1324950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed No66c1,311$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.511239.3%44 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c1,309$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.913,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes31c1,294$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.1522846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No70c1,282$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.77346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed No16c1,270$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.26624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c6d…8371backed No72c1,250$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No69c1,199$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.1798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No68c1,158$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.547238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9a6…4fcfbacked No69c1,100$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7596958%40 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaecf…7061backed Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.48234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-85%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aee…2d8cbacked No73c1,015$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed No72c1,000$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7247241.7%30 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a67…eb64backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65a2…1f2abacked No70c979.12$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.383036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No67c937.95$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4340649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Yes32c925$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6297448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No69c914.31$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes29c862.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.079953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d2…ab03backed No71c810.75$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.082070%14 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked No68c774.06$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No67c746$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a72…d306backed No68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009161.5%56 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a25…099dbacked No73c732.29$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7294…3b5dbacked No69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf7…495cbacked No67c706$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed No73c692.04$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.193167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked No66c689.18$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.815240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No67c672$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2428547.7%136 W · 149 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No66c642.57$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.8887837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No70c641.18$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.8316065%104 W · 56 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x845a…f3e8backed Yes30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No67c592.26$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.21,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes31c580.65$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.6511135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed No68c575$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked No69c574.79$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.613525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bf2…e21fbacked No70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c558.59$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No72c555.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No68c522$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9625848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34556151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…8266backed No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc5e…7761backed No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.