Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff75635a2b7fb8616a5b7d7260b54c3fd5529b1bbab6cfd4ba375a91e03618d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 28c | 5,712$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.42 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 71c | 2,372$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,183$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.06 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 1,074$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.28 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 12c | 1,050$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.22 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…181bbacked Yes | 11c | 881.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.67 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 11c | 851.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.18 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 764.8$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.87 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 72c | 762.7$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.94 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 17c | 589.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.12 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed No | 71c | 566.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 530.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 520$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.8 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 417.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 410.25$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 360$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…2886backed Yes | 12c | 359.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 310.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 11c | 281.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 34c | 272.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed No | 54c | 271$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 256.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 64c | 250.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664c…d6b0backed Yes | 21c | 243.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 76c | 191.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 71c | 180.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256f…2fa5backed No | 69c | 158.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…44c5backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 11c | 130.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 10c | 126.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 17c | 99.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…4b94backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 73c | 87.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 19c | 86.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…adc4backed No | 63c | 85.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 85.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 71.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 19c | 69.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd21…9f89backed No | 69c | 67.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…c685backed Yes | 20c | 58.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 55.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 74c | 49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 65c | 24.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 17.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.