TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$397,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$428,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Over45c17,982$8,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,901.8777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under50c8,445$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,181.7220150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c7,654$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Under55c7,545$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,149.756833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under42c6,560$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.5814544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over69c5,855$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.174235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over47c5,327$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,827.091735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over16c5,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over15c5,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under52c4,810$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.225844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over51c4,668$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.833,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Under31c4,455$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.2210921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Under55c4,182$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over23c3,994$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.9921640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over48c3,358$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.0334964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under30c3,322$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c3,291$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under75c3,096$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.9110471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under49c3,061$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.4631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under71c3,050$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.7931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under73c3,042$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Over16c3,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52012132.2%39 W · 82 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9829232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under80c2,900$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32011648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over33c2,772$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.211735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,625$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe667…6117backed Under29c2,603$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7552070%14 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over60c2,540$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.8624146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c2,493$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.1610836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c2,453$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.182,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over16c2,330$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.482,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under53c2,207$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.336437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under2c2,167$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over20c2,122$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Over16c2,114$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.3424917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over49c2,110$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.8258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed Under48c2,046$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.9610533.3%35 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14021166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.945911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under28c1,986$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.8210942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked Under56c1,950$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.992552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…d510backed Under31c1,839$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5709045.6%41 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under50c1,746$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over25c1,628$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under28c1,625$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.9916325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under79c1,600$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.996358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under49c1,526$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.523857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85514433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9915141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over71c1,404$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0336539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under46c1,397$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over71c1,384$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.3827655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…83e6backed Over16c1,375$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1551936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Over73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.893360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over16c1,298$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.5443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under32c1,249$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.569233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Under57c1,240$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.85350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Under30c1,118$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3384738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over57c1,094$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under51c1,052$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.52,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Over48c1,005$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.481070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.997153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over62c999.98$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb0…5c0cbacked Under55c993.09$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38cc…425bbacked Under79c976.37$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.33650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Under53c946$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6814539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Over72c945.23$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.158158%47 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over16c937.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.511851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…dad6backed Under56c891.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under70c855.33$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3339039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Under54c844.98$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.348139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over16c831.77$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.695330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over63c788.98$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.922540%10 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over72c767.83$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9916549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Over48c729.17$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.175721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over44c723.86$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3614463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.296536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8299…4403backed Under55c707.85$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.321464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dfa…bd08backed Under72c700$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5084…7cf2backed Over72c692.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.543070%21 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed Over73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9311748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over28c680.17$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6646939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2f…da40backed Over15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.672420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Over30c666.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6520245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over16c625$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52518936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Under70c624.16$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.914963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…8429backed Over15c624$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.46241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over30c613.5$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.510242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over16c612.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.57424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over68c603$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd475…9fb4backed Over19c600$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4872222.7%5 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+141%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over15c599.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.994772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Over17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.247626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c08…c202backed Over29c585.07$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.41250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under78c578.21$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45156151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13d…11aabacked Under33c561.35$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1306.7%2 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.