TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c15,677$8,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,832.414,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Over35c15,554$5,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0994535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c9,374$6,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,097.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under35c5,094$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.0536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over59c5,086$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.965442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…062dbacked Over36c4,394$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,823.61513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x880e…bd26backed Under41c3,671$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under59c3,380$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.7564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under22c3,080$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.281656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under39c2,830$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.52,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf004…c9d6backed Over36c2,235$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.261668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under64c2,133$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.141,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over33c2,020$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under38c1,996$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.572626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under41c1,960$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.269233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over34c1,940$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.92,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over54c1,823$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.727358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Under65c1,540$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.994652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Over57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.422240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over69c1,458$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.333432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over49c1,433$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.4911851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under48c1,402$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.5937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under36c1,332$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.298243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c1,315$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under45c1,293$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.154,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under43c1,227$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under64c1,200$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76833149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under65c1,136$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.973,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under36c1,103$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.54933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Under66c1,063$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.769547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Under57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c1,041$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9938526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over35c999.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over52c990$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6716139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over53c943.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3927931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe020…3cc4backed Under11c923.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under38c883.08$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.852,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Over57c872.45$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.9111936.1%43 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over34c861.77$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.442,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under21c844$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.186253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under64c828.57$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.372,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over69c823.51$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.452,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f22…8806backed Over68c809.05$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.052231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under66c798.5$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0123036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c760.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.422,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c758.15$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.93,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over80c723.86$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over73c713.91$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.722,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9728…cb59backed Over69c703.66$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.271827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over59c673.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.9217459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under58c672.91$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8229154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c589.14$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Over36c563.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.176741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over49c511.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over58c499.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9918449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6642…eea1backed Over60c491.66$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.661533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under61c455.6$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under66c444.23$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1935150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over50c433.05$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.057058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over67c424.38$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.43568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over48c417.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.1212343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under67c384.66$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.331,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd42…1b0bbacked Over37c360.57$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Over62c354.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.845721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over34c354.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7430220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e8…ab35backed Over57c351.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.528851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over33c307.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.336346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under34c302.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10332356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9276…0406backed Under60c302.68$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.591866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19226921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…ad70backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-85.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over37c297.3$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.322919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over33c295.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2823729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x210f…0da2backed Over68c294.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.262552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1212544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.717132.4%23 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cc…a636backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.712240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Under67c283.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19019957.3%114 W · 85 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9667…9e05backed Over53c283.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf2…db43backed Over55c281.49$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.453935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3131…a35dbacked Under36c279.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb2…97edbacked Over35c278.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.964656.5%26 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7829529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7836534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over10c275.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.878321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee07…dabcbacked Under36c272$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Over37c270.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2431132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under65c269.42$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.431,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over34c268.71$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.352927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under65c250$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.721,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Over35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under66c249.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9812871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Under59c249.14$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5310050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…99a5backed Over37c243.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.242147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Over66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.276838.2%26 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.