TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$754,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$892,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $754,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under15c231,662$35,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,811.641,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Under16c42,699$6,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,831.87941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c34,142$5,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,242.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under16c21,369$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3253,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under8c18,556$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under15c18,550$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.1371638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under14c10,220$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under16c8,788$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.711,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under8c8,515$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.664,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under15c5,920$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.811,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under2c5,919$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Under17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under16c4,425$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.0420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Under17c4,412$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.942,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.942,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under19c2,954$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.2384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…50f5backed Under17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under3c2,900$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8715937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under3c2,859$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under17c2,830$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.171,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under17c2,676$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45519250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under16c2,524$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.823,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under2c2,425$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3926647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under16c2,344$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.041,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under16c2,278$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7963255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under16c2,211$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7534144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under3c2,167$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Under10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63ad…8089backed Under16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid+185.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under11c1,994$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.662,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under15c1,908$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.881,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under17c1,829$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.972,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under13c1,732$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.542,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under17c1,701$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.531,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under5c989$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4534845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Under18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509439.4%37 W · 57 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under9c800$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under17c696.19$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under9c692.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under17c670.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.761,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Under16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30744.1%3 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25f6…6d83backed Under17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8c…4495backed Under17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under17c524.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.132,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Under3c514.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45541.9%1 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-92.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under16c483.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3973234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under17c475.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030748.2%148 W · 159 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf77…95edbacked Under10c416.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under12c369.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5957541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under19c368.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.114727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1777…ceddbacked Under10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfeb…3365backed Under17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Under17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120138.3%77 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…d6e5backed Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under17c293.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.911,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26bc…70a3backed Under17c284.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.312810.7%3 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-76.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under13c267.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3387837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Under19c266.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under17c263.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.581,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under4c263.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.912,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Under17c245.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0728545.6%130 W · 155 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under18c239.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1568141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5d…d028backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under15c235$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under16c204.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6822731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under17c196.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4531149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe798…3ef9backed Under18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae83…0f9dbacked Under16c162$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.924833.3%16 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e7c…596cbacked Under19c160.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020932.5%68 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under7c152$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2846445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under16c149$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5647744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under17c137.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4222450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Under18c135.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62f4…c090backed Under17c133.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.665925.4%15 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid+18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under17c126.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb2…e33fbacked Under8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102536%9 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf56c…4623backed Under17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a3…09b0backed Under17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under16c115$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9843653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…d3bdbacked Under17c112$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.043920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb114…1b7bbacked Under17c111.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919219.8%38 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdb…7179backed Under18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under16c107$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.121,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfb…de25backed Under19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911144.1%49 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad1…a4b6backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204717%8 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813038.5%50 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under17c91.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.447546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a8…eb35backed Under16c88.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under17c86.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9619734.5%68 W · 129 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Under17c77.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.