TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$447,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$477,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 426 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c41,340$30,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,231.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Over9c40,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,399.879323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under56c10,000$5,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.2317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over19c8,371$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,769.6610836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over35c8,245$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,359.214235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Under48c8,193$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,947.0410921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over45c7,518$3,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Over8c7,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over59c7,000$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.495442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over10c6,776$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,130.7821640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x961f…a3e6backed Under79c6,291$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under45c5,417$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over17c5,033$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.361,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over8c5,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over8c5,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over44c4,577$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.621735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d7…761dbacked Over10c4,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.983828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over8c4,235$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,896.1771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c4,102$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.671,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under68c4,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.9921166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed Under47c3,222$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50310533.3%35 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over55c3,097$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.8424146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over10c2,976$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.1812329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c2,864$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.962,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over35c2,789$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c2,760$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c2,725$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under79c2,522$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26b1…6343backed Over24c2,186$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.812119%4 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-57%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38cc…425bbacked Under62c2,053$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.52650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Under34c2,050$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6974738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Over48c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0302240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569d…e7a3backed Under1c1,995$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over32c1,966$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over25c1,948$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c1,870$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.462,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over54c1,838$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.513432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over55c1,786$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.1720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over43c1,747$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.3910146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under13c1,680$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.841,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d1…1c30backed Over41c1,615$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.82552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dfa…bd08backed Under77c1,499$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.472729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Over8c1,475$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3573330.3%10 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+79.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under57c1,324$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9938819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2f…da40backed Over8c1,250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1502420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Over40c1,249$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.951070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Under67c1,200$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.982751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over65c1,177$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.636732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45ba…a797backed Over67c1,176$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over17c1,175$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.4136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Over66c1,149$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.2816549.1%81 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over9c1,111$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1118936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…42a7backed Over14c1,100$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9442748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Under41c1,097$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Over43c1,052$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.644647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Under41c1,045$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.296732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Over7c999.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.994129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e78…4e26backed Under55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over55c999.97$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9935446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over7c999.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.4312020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under53c943.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under59c915.97$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.521,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over29c909.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.395330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2b8…3288backed Under55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under49c900.15$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.3338745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over12c899.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.246330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Under56c895.17$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Over49c887.16$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.975662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over6c878.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.333,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Under60c875.86$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.652846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over42c838.06$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.0621641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c08…c202backed Over24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.331250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Under66c785.14$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.957636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under7c766.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4642952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under40c755.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6934533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over42c749.8$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.462763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over9c744.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.4422914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over65c737.06$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.976844.1%30 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Over10c704$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.67326%19 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013151.1%67 W · 64 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed36…33d5backed Under72c695$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008733.3%29 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd2…d736backed Under74c688.33$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.641723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under63c682.79$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.2815655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4afe…99f2backed Under74c626.2$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over8c625$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57552217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13d…11aabacked Under47c624.15$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.35306.7%2 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Under75c606.67$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4557243.1%31 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over9c600$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5464772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over10c600$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54014231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked Under54c599.95$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.977432.4%24 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Under80c599.55$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6410142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Under51c589.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under54c554.54$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16a6…a0afbacked Under54c548.26$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x835e…1a02backed Over57c545.8$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Under66c514.16$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8212237.7%46 W · 76 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9343…3f72backed Over10c513.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under72c512.53$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.2621937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under50c506.98$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.