TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$358,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$407,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over0c77,357$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c22,206$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,453.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over12c19,189$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.2210836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under69c10,000$6,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,11017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c6,591$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.544,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Over23c5,946$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.2110942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Under74c5,845$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.142751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over25c4,748$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over25c4,536$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.371,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over12c4,252$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.72,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over15c4,061$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.921,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Over23c3,520$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.9224146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over22c3,302$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over4c3,302$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0928526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over16c3,160$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.795731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Under76c2,886$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.99926.3%26 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over5c2,776$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.582,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38cc…425bbacked Under79c2,326$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.3650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over34c2,228$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.9413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Over0c2,200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-87.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over5c2,160$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over5c2,006$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over41c1,956$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.1821759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Under67c1,931$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.957636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over16c1,915$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.927431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Under70c1,880$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.152445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c1,805$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a50…ed9abacked Over27c1,503$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.041040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under80c1,463$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.118,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over32c1,431$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.865044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over6c1,412$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.672,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Under77c1,322$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6912958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde2f…da40backed Over5c1,306$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4536…afbbbacked Over4c1,269$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick18cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under62c1,207$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over5c1,200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014231%44 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over4c1,184$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over8c1,165$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.636152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over5c1,123$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1621314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c3a…65c8backed Over4c1,046$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.211637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Over24c1,003$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1520253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over20c999.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Over4c999.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.994129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over4c999$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9615225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under73c978.5$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.541,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over6c847.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f49…e67bbacked Over15c845.01$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.822218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over20c837.32$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.120150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Over12c809.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Over25c782.52$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over28c770.62$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.464623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over3c745.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6212020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over14c704.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3339039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…618ebacked Over5c591.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.081533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under75c590.14$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4627255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe39a…efc1backed Over35c578.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007126.8%19 W · 52 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f6d…e72cbacked Over23c566.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.553330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over32c556.95$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.581,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Under76c549.69$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.932828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Under74c540.44$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over4c499.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over10c488$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.85719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Over17c487.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.334647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x210f…0da2backed Under79c469.29$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.812552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Over12c453.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7627034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Over29c416.63$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5312144.6%54 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked Under67c399.97$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.997432.4%24 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over17c396.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.113135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+334.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under75c391.81$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9756151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Over29c379.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…45c6backed Over17c362.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under76c358.95$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3123440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd21b…b449backed Over4c325$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13170%0 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over11c319.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.741444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e90…4a0dbacked Over15c318.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486018.3%11 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Over3c300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210727.1%29 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed Under74c299.98$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.24748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x835e…1a02backed Over14c292.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde27…92c0backed Over25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Over11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Over15c270.46$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.914311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over5c254.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.466258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over20c252.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc966…e142backed Over4c248.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under40c241.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7413059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x2a2a…0ad4backed Over11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-84.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under75c222.65$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.668334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Over5c211.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0313…7d27backed Over29c208.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24a8…dcb4backed Under74c205.11$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.339556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Over5c205$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015046.7%70 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.922639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3653436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Over10c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over25c198.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Over32c193.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7529740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.