TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over12c30,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over12c6,285$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.534,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9822229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c4,698$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.532,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over27c3,410$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.251,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over16c2,707$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.261,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Under76c2,583$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.892445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over20c2,310$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over9c2,281$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a1…22b8backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over17c1,703$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad8e…776ebacked Under68c1,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4751080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over9c1,033$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.972,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under67c988.54$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.812,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over17c845.28$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5358642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Under72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3310762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over7c798.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda1…9527backed Over25c530.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011333.6%38 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over29c508.28$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.45248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over13c436.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.75719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…f9afbacked Under72c399.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-65.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Over16c363.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710634%36 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb599…c214backed Over8c347$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Over29c344.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007524%18 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over22c322$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over30c320$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over6c319.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bc…0d48backed Over30c264.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808732.2%28 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Under69c252.22$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.192532%8 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under80c250$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121850.5%110 W · 108 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over8c231.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1834526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9daf…f56dbacked Under80c224.7$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…379cbacked Over14c215$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306150.8%31 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under65c205.27$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6760752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…17e4backed Over26c195.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506227.4%17 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+93.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over12c148$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cc…2488backed Over28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1413…184abacked Under71c139.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8812564.8%81 W · 44 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over25c127.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.332,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd6dc…925ebacked Under80c125.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over10c118.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3920850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Over25c110$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.537320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under48c101.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over30c100.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.046346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde4…7bfdbacked Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…0613backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9aa…6628backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103030%9 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x102a…df8ebacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256040%24 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415043.3%65 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa339…2e64backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+57.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Over24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311447.4%54 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over26c93.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked Over26c92.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243345.5%15 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c7…3c77backed Over33c91.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3def…a16abacked Over29c85.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Over29c84.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55036%18 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.417747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffbc…a7e7backed Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under75c70.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3827554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over31c67.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd772…d1c4backed Under75c66.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ee…7a99backed Under78c64.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.287945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06aa…52d9backed Over28c61.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a9…e29ebacked Over20c59.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127927.8%22 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over25c56.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a3…7846backed Over20c55.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f76…8e57backed Over24c55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06aa…fbf3backed Over28c54.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…ba06backed Under75c45.41$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.411637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2468…3280backed Under72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.671631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Under72c41.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.639759.8%58 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6d…db4fbacked Under74c36.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.291553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2280…31cbbacked Under72c34.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.592646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf824…0fdabacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cd…2c85backed Under72c30.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.624959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…83e0backed Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb5…bd9bbacked Under72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed4f…0608backed Under77c26.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca9…6ccfbacked Under72c24.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.11533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under76c24.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.741,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf45d…5b2dbacked Under72c23.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Under75c23.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3a3…d117backed Under78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.49737.1%36 W · 61 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Under77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4823062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d5…a1e3backed Under72c18.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe121…fa8fbacked Under70c16.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.