Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685d9c11a3cddb6c0a49fb5a742c8a75b91e20de1b8bb4912444879de97baf46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,644,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,657,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,644,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 973 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Under | 55c | 450,735$247,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,796.68 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 169,413$78,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,637.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…a109backed Over | 46c | 142,147$64,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,359.3 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 55c | 103,800$57,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,089.65 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…9458backed Over | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,000 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 45c | 84,495$38,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,472.25 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 44c | 55,555$24,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,110.79 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 46,027$19,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,767.93 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Over | 44c | 45,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Over | 44c | 44,680$19,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,152.91 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…1057backed Over | 46c | 44,337$20,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,942.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 66c | 29,000$19,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,955.54 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 45c | 22,941$10,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,659.94 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 9c | 22,580$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.45 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Under | 56c | 22,222$12,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,444.32 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 45c | 19,791$8,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,925.22 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 54c | 17,759$9,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,506.83 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 56c | 15,897$8,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,902.34 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 54c | 14,413$7,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,711.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…3111backed Under | 50c | 14,101$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 55c | 12,389$6,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,814.17 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…708bbacked Over | 42c | 12,001$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,001.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Under | 55c | 10,246$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635.3 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Under | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Over | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.96 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…160dbacked Under | 56c | 9,727$5,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,447 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 56c | 9,505$5,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,322.71 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 45c | 8,972$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.6 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 53c | 8,682$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.28 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 8,346$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.02 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…8d0bbacked Under | 37c | 8,163$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Over | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.92 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Under | 57c | 6,549$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.38 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Under | 55c | 5,472$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.92 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under | 7c | 5,335$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.38 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Over | 56c | 5,323$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.21 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 77c | 5,305$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.32 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under | 55c | 5,057$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.26 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 97 | 19.6%19 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under | 55c | 4,811$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.03 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…a734backed Under | 55c | 4,771$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 44c | 4,509$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.24 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…1e89backed Over | 58c | 4,400$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 57c | 4,047$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.87 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…5b58backed Under | 56c | 3,839$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 55c | 3,731$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.9 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 45c | 3,556$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.56 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 6c | 3,422$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 3,408$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.62 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…ffc1backed Under | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…f217backed Over | 56c | 3,014$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 55c | 3,012$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.43 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…42cebacked Under | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…13a3backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.98 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9d…01d7backed Over | 46c | 2,850$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 27c | 2,785$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.54 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Under | 37c | 2,678$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.56 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 18c | 2,591$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.72 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.02 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 2,453$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.59 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 45c | 2,421$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.52 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 2,336$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…8f21backed Over | 73c | 2,308$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.68 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…c850backed Over | 45c | 2,203$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.56 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…4dfbbacked Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 1,990$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.83 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2991…5743backed Under | 55c | 1,868$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9efc…cce5backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…5a58backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Over | 45c | 1,768$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.12 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…2ed4backed Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over | 46c | 1,711$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.93 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 45c | 1,666$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.3 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 54c | 1,638$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.39 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 25c | 1,572$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.71 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 19c | 1,506$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.57 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,478$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.2 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Over | 64c | 1,466$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.56 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…c697backed Over | 45c | 1,465$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…f0dbbacked Under | 56c | 1,435$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 46c | 1,407$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Over | 44c | 1,389$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.64 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a29…9ddebacked Over | 46c | 1,348$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5this page
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Over won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.