TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,644,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,657,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,644,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 973 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9243…658ebacked Under55c450,735$247,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247,796.6815249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c169,413$78,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,637.114,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81da…a109backed Over46c142,147$64,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,359.32085%17 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+82.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under55c103,800$57,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,089.652,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Over45c100,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,0004753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over45c84,495$38,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,472.2520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over44c55,555$24,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,110.7942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c46,027$19,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,767.931,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over44c45,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,199.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over44c44,680$19,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,152.919451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Over46c44,337$20,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,942.082147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over66c29,000$19,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,955.544148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over45c22,941$10,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,659.9484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under9c22,580$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.4536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under56c22,222$12,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,444.3211647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over45c20,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,00027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over45c19,791$8,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,925.2248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under54c17,759$9,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,506.8324950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under56c15,897$8,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,902.3412146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under54c14,413$7,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,711.47346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Under50c14,101$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0004341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under55c12,389$6,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,814.1774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…708bbacked Over42c12,001$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,001.022240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Under55c10,246$5,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,635.36448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90015937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Over44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.969253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…160dbacked Under56c9,727$5,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,44750%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under56c9,505$5,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,322.7123949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over45c8,972$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,972.621849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under53c8,682$4,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,601.2829154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under30c8,346$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.022,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…8d0bbacked Under37c8,163$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Over45c8,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9212343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.911643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under57c6,549$3,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.3813259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under55c5,472$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.921,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under7c5,335$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.3816325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Over56c5,323$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.217122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over77c5,305$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.3228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under55c5,057$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.2620044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7509719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under55c4,811$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.0339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc9c…a734backed Under55c4,771$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c4,509$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.241,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Over58c4,400$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8486434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under57c4,047$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3077640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.8719545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabcf…5b58backed Under56c3,839$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1509535.8%34 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under55c3,731$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.91,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under54c3,700$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99829232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over45c3,556$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.567859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.771735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under6c3,422$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c3,408$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Over56c3,014$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.131070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under55c3,012$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.4328025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd1…42cebacked Under56c3,000$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.981030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9d…01d7backed Over46c2,850$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5391020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under27c2,785$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.5434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under37c2,678$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.5635446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under18c2,591$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.7230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.0247144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c2,453$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.592,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over45c2,421$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.5247643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c2,336$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e0…8f21backed Over73c2,308$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.684647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7331644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over45c2,203$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.5630140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…4dfbbacked Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9920234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c1,990$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.8359230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2991…5743backed Under55c1,868$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.192035%7 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5700…5a58backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7189443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.716563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over45c1,768$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.1220547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Under57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.784447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over46c1,711$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.9347648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over45c1,666$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.31,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Under54c1,638$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.394351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under25c1,572$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.712,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under19c1,506$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.572,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.997055.7%39 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,478$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.21,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Over64c1,466$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.5610942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc217…c697backed Over45c1,465$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.571457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2837…f0dbbacked Under56c1,435$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Over46c1,407$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76020053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Over44c1,389$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.643745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a29…9ddebacked Over46c1,348$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.861662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.