TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$481,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$560,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over64c155,083$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,082.8311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under36c99,013$35,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,644.5716331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under35c70,277$24,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,596.8174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under36c43,349$15,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,658.3929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over64c32,344$20,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,643.8217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Over64c31,250$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,2504535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c22,898$6,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,767.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under37c18,858$6,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,977.4921333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c16,875$5,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,330.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over78c16,406$12,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.555366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under39c13,693$5,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,376.61,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over63c12,729$8,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,707.942,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c8,337$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96022639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under37c6,386$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.8722139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under17c6,222$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.6813738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c5,507$3,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c4,689$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.032,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac8…986fbacked Over66c4,570$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.64240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under38c4,241$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.616159%36 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over63c3,968$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.2517751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under26c3,879$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.312,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under20c3,522$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.229233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over62c3,500$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.9916139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over62c3,491$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.262,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c3,078$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Over68c2,952$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.861560%9 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over60c2,469$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.527655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x880e…bd26backed Over64c2,160$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c2,096$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.961,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over61c1,646$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.7411643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b6…c6aabacked Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over73c1,518$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under36c1,437$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.6621044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under22c1,340$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.752,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over73c1,299$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.734156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Over63c1,251$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.673826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under25c1,131$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.812,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over63c1,109$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6311851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under36c1,038$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7822643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe668…8a94backed Over61c1,033$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.793327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over64c1,020$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.081,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208a…ab0fbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10244.2%1 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick24cpaid-87.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370120%0 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Under37c999.96$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9821542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over62c888.37$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3947049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over63c885.98$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.232,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under21c865.31$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.572,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over61c853.99$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0613046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6737955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31d…3d13backed Over63c788.69$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.696741.8%28 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under36c786.63$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.393,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under38c774.78$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.033,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a0…2c5abacked Over65c770.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.436842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+54.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under9c626.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6621…22ccbacked Over77c597.3$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.35754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over75c555.55$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6141968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under27c539.13$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.565044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c532.24$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804963.3%31 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Over62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1906541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over70c494.46$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2129558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2300…53f8backed Over61c490.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.998746%40 W · 47 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bf5…9e5cbacked Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.877343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over60c483.72$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4918449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over63c478.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7528258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2f…ac93backed Over63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.193467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under20c459.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3323637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9614539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under38c392.03$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Over65c385.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.898939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x210f…0da2backed Over63c384.22$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.162552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under26c375.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Over62c368.1$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8813641.2%56 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Over63c350.8$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.32937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under38c338.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.639947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over63c322.96$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.496346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4647935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4610657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d5…559ebacked Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4611925.2%30 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed Over63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4612544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Over63c313.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.957948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52e5…0e41backed Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.55639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under9c309.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.712,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…a779backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under37c300$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over64c289.94$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.073568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Under37c264.22$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.764940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d2…abfbbacked Under16c256.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.994148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0067…c8b8backed Over62c241.71$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cc…a636backed Over63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.12240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed Under10c237$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.566253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3817322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed68…3555backed Over65c231.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.512161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over63c230.73$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3718548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Over64c224.96$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.998661.6%53 W · 33 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under39c223.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.