Spread: Germany (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ca7676a418724a3d5b8682a67af1c61f6c0173510e48a737cf495049da056d

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Germanyof Germany, Curaçao
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,340,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,259,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,340,768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Germany	31c	318,550$98,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219,956.86	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Curaçao	70c	122,421$85,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,299.16	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Curaçao	69c	61,235$42,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,159.06	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Germany	22c	52,127$11,507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,619.14	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Germany	22c	50,000$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,000	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Curaçao	73c	40,807$29,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,921.06	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Germany	22c	24,322$5,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,892.52	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Germany	17c	23,001$3,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,160.87	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x55b6…09e2backed Curaçao	78c	19,228$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Germany	33c	16,817$5,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,282.34	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Curaçao	75c	16,368$12,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,318.37	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Curaçao	76c	15,538$11,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,884.07	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Curaçao	74c	12,664$9,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,430	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Germany	24c	12,082$2,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,194.18	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Curaçao	59c	10,500$6,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,219.95	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Curaçao	71c	10,388$7,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,400.22	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Curaçao	72c	9,425$6,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,756.05	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Curaçao	71c	9,252$6,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,565.28	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Curaçao	72c	9,000$6,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,490	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Curaçao	25c	8,417$2,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,092.28	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Germany	46c	8,304$3,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,518.45	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Germany	17c	7,777$1,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,454.74	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Germany	21c	7,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,530	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Germany	28c	5,999$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,319.51	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Germany	21c	5,700$1,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500.94	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Curaçao	79c	5,496$4,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,315.15	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Germany	42c	5,414$2,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,166.67	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Curaçao	77c	5,361$4,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,148.41	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Curaçao	77c	5,361$4,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,148.41	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Curaçao	78c	5,252$4,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,082.8	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Curaçao	65c	5,000$3,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,229.99	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Curaçao	77c	4,668$3,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,573.24	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Curaçao	72c	4,551$3,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,281.93	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Curaçao	77c	4,337$3,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,357.78	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Germany	39c	3,950$1,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,402.86	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Germany	25c	3,770$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,828.25	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Germany	22c	3,709$823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,885.64	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Curaçao	78c	3,468$2,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,721.29	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Germany	33c	3,411$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,292.54	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb86f…da81backed Curaçao	78c	3,368$2,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,621	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Germany	23c	3,307$761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,546.03	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Curaçao	77c	3,300$2,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,540.98	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Germany	21c	3,274$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,590.01	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Curaçao	76c	3,264$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,495.25	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Curaçao	1c	2,977$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.7	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Germany	17c	2,906$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,411.31	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Curaçao	62c	2,465$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.76	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Germany	25c	2,420$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,814.31	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Curaçao	41c	2,279$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.39	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+18.5wins	+0.20per pick	28cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Germany	61c	2,225$1,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.51	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Germany	19c	2,179$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,766.06	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Curaçao	76c	2,044$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,551.92	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Germany	16c	2,021$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,705.8	202	34.2%69 W · 133 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Germany	52c	1,999$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.54	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Germany	17c	1,926$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,598.88	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Germany	31c	1,917$586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.54	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e52…0ec9backed Curaçao	76c	1,901$1,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450.99	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+5.9wins	+0.29per pick	41cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Curaçao	67c	1,810$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207.5	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Curaçao	79c	1,809$1,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.91	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Curaçao	75c	1,710$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.49	154	59.7%92 W · 62 L	+20.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Germany	18c	1,693$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,392.74	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Curaçao	23c	1,683$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.97	101	37.6%38 W · 63 L	+14.5wins	+0.14per pick	23cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Germany	36c	1,683$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.49	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Germany	41c	1,555$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.16	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x246e…9556backed Curaçao	76c	1,551$1,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.33	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-6.6wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Germany	21c	1,432$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.38	118	51.7%61 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Curaçao	23c	1,347$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.37	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Germany	18c	1,326$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,087.5	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe708…c3aabacked Curaçao	4c	1,287$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.47	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Curaçao	78c	1,284$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.1	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe960…a960backed Germany	44c	1,278$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.47	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Curaçao	69c	1,271$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.17	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Germany	60c	1,204$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.08	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Germany	20c	1,200$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Curaçao	45c	1,200$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Germany	37c	1,154$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.69	138	30.4%42 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…ceffbacked Germany	18c	1,119$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.76	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Germany	18c	1,100$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.99	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.15per pick	27cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Germany	31c	1,081$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.67	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Germany	21c	1,052$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.01	137	36.5%50 W · 87 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99a7…87b6backed Curaçao	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	99	26.3%26 W · 73 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Curaçao	78c	1,028$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…6207backed Germany	13c	1,000$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Curaçao	79c	939.06$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737.86	175	68.6%120 W · 55 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	74cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd86…d74fbacked Curaçao	61c	935.56$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Germany	52c	916.06$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.06	161	63.4%102 W · 59 L	+25.7wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Germany	23c	899.95$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.69	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+7.9wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Germany	49c	860$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.4	607	52.4%318 W · 289 L	+21.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Germany	57c	858.59$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.5	101	60.4%61 W · 40 L	+11.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Germany	27c	811.52$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.19	464	45.5%211 W · 253 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Curaçao	2c	805.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	460	12.4%57 W · 403 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…50c3backed Germany	25c	782.61$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.75per pick	25cpaid	+292.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Germany	32c	781.25$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.25	100	59%59 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Curaçao	76c	761.18$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.5	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ca…02d5backed Germany	20c	746.32$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.72	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Germany	15c	666.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.67	185	44.9%83 W · 102 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Germany	30c	666.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.67	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Germany	62c	660$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.9	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Curaçao	67c	645.81$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.53	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	71cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19b…dea8backed Germany	16c	637.3$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.3	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-5.5)this page
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event