TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Germanyof Curaçao, Germany
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,114 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0426…7133backed Curaçao0c32,289$32 inLost-$32.291330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick18cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Curaçao0c13,396$50 inLost-$5022846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e1…e49abacked Curaçao1c10,000$50 inLost-$508433.3%28 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed Curaçao1c3,000$30 inLost-$30744.1%3 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f08…b729backed Curaçao1c2,648$13 inLost-$13.243016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Curaçao1c2,242$12 inLost-$12.4984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…83e6backed Curaçao1c2,040$20 inLost-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Curaçao1c2,000$10 inLost-$103067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Curaçao1c1,952$15 inLost-$15.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Curaçao1c1,795$11 inLost-$10.773,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff92…4b94backed Curaçao1c1,613$10 inLost-$103420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Curaçao1c1,564$15 inLost-$159622.9%22 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Curaçao1c1,541$15 inLost-$15.32737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Curaçao2c914.39$16 inLost-$15.68225.6%21 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.