TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c3,289$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c2,594$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.464,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9629232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over60c1,250$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50116139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under42c1,055$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6412753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Over58c999.33$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.727445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under37c970.05$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.9286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over61c840$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.68032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Under42c833.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c644.2$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.893,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c604.88$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.042,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c587.98$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.272,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Under50c500.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20512871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.85961%36 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under40c436.01$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Under41c374.41$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3118448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c366.29$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under40c357.3$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.262,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c357$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.112,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Over62c351.74$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.669629.2%28 W · 68 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9811335.4%40 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x553b…6bebbacked Over59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c337$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.433,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac5…2ccabacked Over60c323.05$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.23339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d3…3078backed Over61c321.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.311560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over63c317.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.476665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under40c299.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.681,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Over63c293.81$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.815461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Over62c279.52$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.523141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf79…ac5ebacked Over60c265.7$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.282352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cd…2eedbacked Over60c245.53$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.213528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over63c238.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2511252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over63c197.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1312028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over61c195.67$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3118040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0756…afecbacked Over60c192.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.931540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1b…bb35backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.511946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.034247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over62c120.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2339752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over75c113.39$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x46f4…d2c5backed Over65c106.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.953161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4111560%69 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over62c93.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.724935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b36…d80cbacked Over57c86.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1318641.9%78 W · 108 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Over64c86.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.620756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7552441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…3807backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9714244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over61c81.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6819742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.220149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ff…d0dfbacked Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.379951.5%51 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0906…54f4backed Over63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.372045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under40c72.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over65c65.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0521565.1%140 W · 75 L+16.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525036%18 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf05…8a47backed Over62c61.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.291936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da7…8bb1backed Over61c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69858.2%57 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over59c59.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4c…22c0backed Over61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.381850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5613242.4%56 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Over56c51.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.774420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebe1…23c7backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.858742.5%37 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under30c49.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.032,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over61c48.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1910540%42 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over67c44.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4749426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed Over59c44.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.076968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2a6…2923backed Over59c43.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.725558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over59c42.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.379952.5%52 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x738e…1f9abacked Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674450%22 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05c…ade7backed Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.986564.6%42 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6714…e4f7backed Over62c40.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.191478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fee…29acbacked Under40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Over58c39.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.782937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under44c39.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.636045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Over60c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.626535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd3…aeddbacked Over60c38.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.334353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Over61c36.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0347049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c34.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.252,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99250%46 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a9…b9e9backed Over59c33.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0981…eac2backed Over62c32.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7518850%94 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbdd…2ffebacked Over62c30.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.462560%15 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.337348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Over60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1216056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d4a…386fbacked Over60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over56c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7545472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08b1…cc42backed Over61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591540%6 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+91.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7eb…2222backed Over62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed4…ecf3backed Over62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c70…edf3backed Over62c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.014161%25 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over55c20.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.272,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0da0…c1b1backed Over59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.