TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdac5…2cca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 62 out of 100; worst Champions League at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.54
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.61
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.52
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.85
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.03
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.05
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$168.04
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+163.6%+$107.98
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.55
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.02
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+341.9%+$1,753.05
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.84
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.71
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.96
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.8
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$131.05
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$128.2
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.56
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$71.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$164.97
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$134.28
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+614.3%+$207.08
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$167.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+144%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$45.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.