Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x751c6ed2e9222f7385d2c40f67629b7aba864a54a6b255af8ead497094e62ee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,966 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 10,363$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 54c | 7,595$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 6,992$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.19 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 67c | 4,100$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.93 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 36c | 2,340$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.55 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8a0bbacked Over | 57c | 1,120$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 35c | 712.57$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.17 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 67c | 483.87$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 72c | 384.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 52c | 367.24$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 50c | 180.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 14c | 146.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 47c | 99.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 46c | 92.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 16c | 90.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 67.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 43c | 53.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 47c | 51.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 59c | 51.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Over | 51c | 47.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…0561backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Under | 50c | 28.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 52c | 27.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…2ccabacked Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 52c | 26.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 57c | 25.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.