Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b01545441a013ca6ed3eac1fc3fa8f05184ad7b52701920ff07a77f47f48c7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,483 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Under | 26c | 632.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 317.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…86c4backed Over | 74c | 260.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80c…08febacked Under | 26c | 260.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 23c | 223.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b96cbacked Over | 77c | 217.71$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 24c | 158$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 74c | 132.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…1df1backed Over | 77c | 99.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 77c | 85.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 77c | 72.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked Over | 77c | 61.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 50.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 79c | 38.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.