Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d5fa81343917433680edb39f5bb39b53262e7ce24ae72b7294f8888eccc5c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 72c | 82,928$59,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,220.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 28c | 60,524$16,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,946.79 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 16,555$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 28c | 6,175$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.88 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 24c | 4,721$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.26 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 26c | 2,786$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.46 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 75c | 1,930$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 18c | 1,151$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.61 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 52c | 856.89$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 797.74$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.71 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Over | 67c | 745.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 29c | 525.31$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.97 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 30c | 429.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…086dbacked Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 287.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 62c | 277.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Over | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 41c | 244.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 49c | 239.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 34c | 188.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 29c | 154.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…91d6backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 143.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 26c | 140.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…0247backed Over | 68c | 132.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 12c | 121.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 28c | 120.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 28c | 120.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 76c | 99.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…57a4backed Over | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 42c | 84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 29c | 78.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 42c | 77.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed Under | 28c | 74.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 65c | 69.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 65.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…8316backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…1df1backed Over | 52c | 43.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 65c | 37.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 66c | 31.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 71c | 26.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.