Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d33682bd9f75da156bb0cfb5bd4f6abee304a03c71b9dcbda044dcff36eb6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Over | 0c | 74,041$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbf…ec49backed Over | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…3ed5backed Over | 0c | 18,427$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 27c | 5,986$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.29 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 73c | 4,307$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.97 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…a4d2backed Over | 0c | 3,696$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 25c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 73c | 1,252$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.03 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 26c | 915.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 9c | 612.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 27c | 499.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 27c | 499.42$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 73c | 484.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 6c | 452.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 26c | 415$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…62e6backed Under | 74c | 405.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 27c | 370.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over | 27c | 322.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…2ccabacked Over | 22c | 292.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 26c | 288$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Over | 26c | 277.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…4261backed Over | 12c | 249.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 22c | 179.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 75c | 159.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 73c | 154$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 28c | 119$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 74c | 116.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 78c | 107.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 74c | 89.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 88.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 22c | 67.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad39backed Over | 26c | 60.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 59.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 24c | 56.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 27c | 55.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed Under | 74c | 40.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…34a4backed Under | 74c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…1ac2backed Under | 74c | 36.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…c689backed Under | 74c | 31.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 76c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c4…1378backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…a173backed Under | 74c | 26.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…e461backed Under | 74c | 23.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 75c | 17.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Under | 74c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.