Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e95182903d43158cc5ff943a01367ac2d7ce5b10d575f255466f8b4756fb083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 13c | 3,075$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.14 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 2,791$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.41 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 15c | 2,333$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 2,227$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.46 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Under | 14c | 2,149$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 19c | 2,094$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 1,634$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.19 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Under | 23c | 1,547$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 14c | 1,048$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 14c | 1,032$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 15c | 1,024$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.79 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 26c | 769.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Over | 76c | 761.88$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 12c | 757.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 17c | 580.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 508.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 23c | 435.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…abbfbacked Under | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…4a59backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 75c | 198.76$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 13c | 195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 14c | 181.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 78c | 167.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked Under | 25c | 155.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…9ed2backed Under | 17c | 153.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Over | 75c | 133.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…230dbacked Over | 76c | 127.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…87e8backed Over | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 74c | 102.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 13c | 94.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 14c | 83.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 17c | 73.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 73c | 72.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 21c | 71.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 20c | 62.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…2ebdbacked Over | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7e…d218backed Over | 76c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…9054backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…362bbacked Over | 76c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 74c | 13.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.