TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,180,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,225,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,180,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9243…658ebacked Under69c398,998$274,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274,798.9315249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c143,914$38,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,355.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under69c69,072$47,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,558.0977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c55,258$14,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,523.023,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over32c31,951$10,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,746.56050%30 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over32c30,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,40025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over32c29,600$9,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,12821333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under69c29,000$20,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,01013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over24c28,102$6,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,360.111,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ee…90e6backed Over31c25,199$7,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,387.492161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over21c24,933$5,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,630.972,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c22,681$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,983.7251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over21c20,529$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,316.8239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over31c20,349$6,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,962.0329740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over32c19,313$6,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,131.312,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed Over31c16,280$5,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,233.25156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c15,475$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,655.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Under74c13,743$10,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,204.817238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c12,196$8,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,403.742,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x859a…10f3backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under66c8,770$5,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,787.8819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c7,018$4,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,917.932,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over32c7,000$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,794.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over31c6,452$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.618353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,25013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4964…4b77backed Over32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,250683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+62.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over4c6,160$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,894.0734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Over31c6,100$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.954746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over31c6,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,14059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over31c6,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,14016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over34c5,875$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,877.596132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over12c5,804$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,088.221,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under68c5,543$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.781,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over11c5,463$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.9710836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37ad…0377backed Over31c4,647$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,206.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+191.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over24c4,513$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.571,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under68c4,468$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.185740.4%23 W · 34 L-9.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over33c4,436$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.9912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,333$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3321314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under1c4,333$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3340240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over30c4,287$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.0684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c4,252$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.391,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over30c4,051$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.3448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over31c3,616$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.9195037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over23c3,445$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.821,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc09e…e4cdbacked Under3c3,351$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c3,334$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.242,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Under70c3,309$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.962839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over13c3,088$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.425731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Over31c2,628$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.321560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under70c2,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over31c2,492$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.8721044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under67c2,433$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.0650243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under67c2,430$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.0725857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Over33c2,424$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.2419529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac5…2ccabacked Over23c2,266$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.053339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over10c2,219$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.234924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under69c2,205$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.414665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over19c2,074$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.4485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over34c2,040$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.6636247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over34c2,016$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.563571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e78…4e26backed Under67c2,000$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.52955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under68c2,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.998247.6%39 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Over31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9811657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over31c1,995$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.8936543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over10c1,957$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.361,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over31c1,920$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.785457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Over31c1,915$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.448046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c1,885$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over32c1,842$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.626445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over32c1,823$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.923427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Over33c1,818$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.1815042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over17c1,806$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.8821640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over33c1,791$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.2121641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over11c1,708$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.0944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101d…cad2backed Under26c1,700$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0311224.1%27 W · 85 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x86eb…d1f6backed Over32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x166e…16c9backed Over32c1,547$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c1,538$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.532,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over19c1,525$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.732,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Under69c1,490$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.15242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e19…a2c3backed Over33c1,479$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.67540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+210.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over15c1,473$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.637431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Over7c1,464$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.794829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Under76c1,447$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10017462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over11c1,445$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.223151.6%16 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick32cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under69c1,438$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over31c1,417$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.0733245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1d…f3d0backed Under71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Over32c1,406$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.253330.3%10 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+79.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over34c1,406$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.882937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over21c1,325$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.7443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over26c1,256$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.692,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb907…2c9ebacked Over34c1,200$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7985364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x465b…fe58backed Over33c1,171$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.22633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over8c1,162$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.9322919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over26c1,151$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.3216943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x593a…bd74backed Under68c1,151$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick59cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.