Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3c4ec8a952306d39d3eb361dc05bf50e8911e84e0a2238af749d2b28fe21a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 7c | 12,377$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 8c | 7,751$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.59 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Over | 7c | 5,414$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 7c | 4,163$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…2a6abacked Over | 1c | 3,465$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 7c | 3,408$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 6c | 3,365$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.88 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…dda4backed Over | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +228.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 7c | 3,324$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.96 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 7c | 3,064$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…8429backed Over | 7c | 2,771$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…8a94backed Over | 8c | 2,762$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Over | 7c | 2,578$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Over | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Over | 1c | 2,141$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…bfe6backed Over | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…4067backed Over | 7c | 1,595$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Over | 7c | 1,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…54dbbacked Over | 7c | 1,312$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…ad59backed Over | 7c | 1,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Over | 8c | 1,156$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 7c | 1,130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Over | 6c | 950.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 8c | 847.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 8c | 837.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 5c | 796.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 2c | 740.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…5f09backed Over | 6c | 733.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…6b26backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Over | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 6c | 710.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 7c | 694.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…35a6backed Over | 7c | 666.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked Over | 8c | 638.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…65c8backed Over | 8c | 633$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…ef83backed Over | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Over | 8c | 575$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Over | 6c | 453$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1d22backed Over | 7c | 429.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d74…8121backed Over | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over | 7c | 413.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Over | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 5c | 396.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…26f9backed Over | 8c | 375.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0872…8cbfbacked Over | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 7c | 371.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Over | 8c | 357.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…c78fbacked Over | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 6c | 299$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Over | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…fba2backed Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 8c | 193$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Over | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 7c | 176$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Over | 6c | 172$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…0367backed Over | 7c | 162.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…e29ebacked Over | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…c0f5backed Over | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…363ebacked Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5this page
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.