TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,537,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,587,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,537,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 892 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x780a…84f0backed Over50c307,012$153,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,506.181776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c284,000$134,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,953.631,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c150,514$57,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,948.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under51c144,443$73,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,665.9342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over49c120,000$58,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,199.7814843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over49c95,982$47,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,950.928440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c69,237$34,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,536.177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over50c56,851$28,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,425.64456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under38c50,000$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.9625038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over49c45,678$22,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,295.743339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under51c37,702$19,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,22814232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c24,088$13,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,482.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1569…bf0cbacked Under51c23,529$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+101.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under22c22,222$4,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.8321836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Under40c17,685$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over62c17,171$10,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,454.6766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c17,078$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under38c14,128$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,332.9144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over79c14,000$11,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over53c12,974$6,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,115.358728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0006334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under22c9,341$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.722,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over79c9,290$7,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.471,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over49c9,102$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,642.238353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over62c8,928$5,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.3239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over48c8,658$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,519.5836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c8,651$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.482,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Over49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.982850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c7,918$5,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd543…c181backed Over75c7,482$5,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over53c7,386$3,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.241,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over46c6,486$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.9631545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over49c6,444$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.8137242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over79c6,314$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.482,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over79c6,284$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.542556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over78c5,611$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.3410355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c5,563$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under48c5,274$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.221,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over80c5,100$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under53c5,062$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.334456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b05…c092backed Over80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.977050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over79c4,933$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.838252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over40c4,664$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.133321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over58c4,629$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.7434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over54c4,525$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.2230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Over79c4,500$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9452259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c4,500$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0157823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under28c4,450$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.484738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over59c4,115$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.0446223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over52c4,108$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.5612241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under47c4,105$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.9713738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Over77c3,879$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.13271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under72c3,464$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under41c3,432$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.8611558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under36c3,418$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.4420150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under28c3,374$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under23c3,336$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over58c3,282$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.181,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x466a…76e7backed Under58c3,228$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b1…8fedbacked Under63c3,175$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under9c3,170$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…e8d9backed Over42c3,100$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.992321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under51c3,074$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.8833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under22c3,012$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.971,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under24c3,006$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.391,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c2,989$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.641,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under36c2,889$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.314744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over55c2,736$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.2528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Over53c2,667$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.235747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under21c2,621$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.19845.9%45 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over67c2,499$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over59c2,417$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.8758642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.971723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over63c2,398$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.2475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under35c2,359$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.3823857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under23c2,348$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.6471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14be…3296backed Over63c2,338$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.174829.2%14 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under20c2,222$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.414325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Under21c2,222$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.623933.3%13 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Over76c2,171$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.056732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over52c2,121$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.096246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over69c2,093$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.8811167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under43c2,039$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.5936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under44c2,004$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.782,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4882…6207backed Over50c1,978$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-77.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under40c1,836$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.585360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over70c1,833$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.322959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Over64c1,807$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.5422452.2%117 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Over71c1,730$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.128445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.142725.9%7 W · 20 L-7.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c1,715$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.922,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under38c1,663$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.9416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over47c1,662$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.1839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under38c1,650$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1220333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over66c1,648$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.9116750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe875…28e5backed Under47c1,644$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.08825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under25c1,643$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over80c1,625$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.