TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$437,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$435,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x780a…84f0backed Over73c200,000$145,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145,969.191776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c158,676$42,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115,743.283,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c27,315$10,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,730.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under54c19,247$10,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,826.6364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under27c15,701$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,418.751,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c13,931$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,468.663,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over14c9,365$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.1344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under53c6,628$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,101.959233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under30c5,379$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.1536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…76f1backed Over72c4,167$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb43…4201backed Over43c4,073$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.54546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over73c4,071$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.913164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over71c3,410$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.322,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad6…34c6backed Under30c3,200$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2473636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under28c3,085$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over73c2,798$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.352,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Under56c2,661$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.112254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under41c2,507$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.4526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.229742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under26c2,120$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.5586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over47c2,119$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under47c2,007$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.2744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce9…c3ccbacked Over40c2,000$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2145…aa3fbacked Over74c1,988$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over16c1,864$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.232,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Over73c1,845$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.43826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over58c1,750$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.512241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over63c1,746$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c1,699$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.674,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under70c1,422$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.1423440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over11c1,352$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7674027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over64c1,244$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under54c1,188$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1825049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under28c1,121$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.432532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77be…89a9backed Under28c1,023$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5723637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under28c1,001$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under65c964.23$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.82,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under53c902.39$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.237357.5%42 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under28c899.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.631,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under29c843.27$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.721,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under56c818.22$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over65c774.94$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.7122153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under48c750.4$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.5827931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c730.69$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.421,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over56c714.54$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.251,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over51c709.95$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.476045%27 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over73c623.04$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.952,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over41c621.95$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556836.8%25 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under70c575.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1134731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over35c555.83$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5422919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over40c549.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.985945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under54c546.19$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.491,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over42c539.96$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa213…6907backed Over73c520.55$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Over15c513.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7723645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22515044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Under45c444.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.591338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4841…1767backed Over47c427$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008421.4%18 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e8…ab35backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Under80c414.66$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.669764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under28c407.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.1422355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under49c404.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9722932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under73c397.96$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5526647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under47c393.76$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7714131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Over64c389.88$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5224620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under79c379.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7516325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under32c363.31$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0570750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over65c349.98$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.493253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed Under58c343.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2111748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over65c330$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.56346%29 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over15c321.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1769744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over8c319.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over53c300$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.653436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9316152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under27c292.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.521,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under28c267.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Over15c266.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.168758.6%51 W · 36 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under35c257.14$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1445248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under35c247.25$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.712835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1491…387abacked Under53c239.84$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.686241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under63c212.33$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under28c210$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.536838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over61c208$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.852,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc0…895dbacked Over45c207.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.542532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over46c206$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7627655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Over72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.611946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Under30c193.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.332433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over65c191.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6320149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over39c189.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7416737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over32c189.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.732,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c189.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under54c185.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3329740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09f9…8450backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.